"Canberra News, Views and Opinion"
[First filed: Aug 11, 2010 @ 10:14]
If the Greens can make news with a poll of 400 people then why not have a look at how the RiotACT readership is feeling about the crucial Senate race?
On 21 August in the Senate I will give the higher preference to
Total Voters: 708
Loading ...(Bear in mind internet polls should not be taken too seriously)
UPDATE Just bumping this back up the page to shoot for the magical 450+ which apparently makes it a proper sample 
(Sadly our fraud prevention systems exclude a lot of potential pollsters)
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I’m not surprised to see Lin Hatfield Dodds looking so popular. I spent 3 years working in the not for profit sector (health area) and I’ve always heard Lin described as a successful manager with a good grasp of policy.
It’s great to see the Greens finding a candidate with experience in running a successful organisation and a genuine passion for doing what’s right.
It also probably helps the Greens that Canberra voters are politically aware and understand that they can give first preference to Greens (or even the silly party) without “throwing away their vote” as preferences have equal weight. I’ve also heard Canberra people tell me that they will vote Green knowing that there will never be a Greens majority in Parliament because they see the value in having just a few Greens in Parliament to represent the human interest (even if they don’t necessarily trust a Greens Government).
Aye, the problem with internet polls is that they’re self-selecting and not demographically weighted.
I’ll vote for the one that’s gonna stop them boat people stealing all our jobs.
Its kinda sad that there is no real good candidates this election….
Holden Caulfield said :
The Taliban?
I do not take this poll seriously.
Seriously.
I’m all the way with LBJ, or hitting the tar with Obama, or wax and polishing as I clean with Mr Sheen.
Hang on…
Greens. How the heck else are we going to get the ACT in on the pork?
Eyl said :
Or even a few genuine loonies to liven things up.
Why isn’t there an option in the poll for “I’ll draw a penis on the ballot paper”?
p1 said :
Haha, good response. They’ll do!
I’m tired of Aborigines taking everybody’s jobs!
No doubt the Nanny State ,Ban everything and piss on Australians ‘Implied?” rights crew will get in regardless of who wins. Pretty soon helmets will be compulsory for pedestrians.
F**k that shit I’m voting for Norris
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TkudKzFo7zs
JessicaNumber said :
What about Kerrie Tucker, she was alright?
Wow, that was just like voting, and she won, wow if that happens in a big way through this election, I might never be called a dole bludger in my life, ever again
Did I ever tell you fellow rioters, how much I love voting.
I had to pre pol, just to take my vote as far away from the right as my little ballot paper would carry me
Greens 1, then, allllllllllllll the way down the bottom, liberal, so far past 1, well you know last, where if my vote counts, should retire the theives.
I’v been locked up, for protesting, by mistake so my daughter could be stolen, still, very very angry about that gary.
Toni, when you, as I hope you do, you know loose the election. I, unfortunately caught you drooling all over a little girl who said she would have voted for you, You perhaps should lower the voting age to, if you can fill out your name and address, you can vote
I wanna make your wish come true toni, however, if that little girl wasn’t you know, one of yours, I think she only said that to get rid of you, I could be wrong, but if I were that little girl, and I knew what a lier you are, and what you are talking about doing to the dole.
You’ve obviously got connections toni, and wealth, why take power, why don’t you go somewhere where you aren’t gonna hurt anyone, you can afford it, me and everyone I know I thinking about $6000, that we don’t have to have a baby for, thinking, labors getting it, the have forgotten what it feels like to be poor, and are probably sick of being attacked from the right for trying to help the lumpenproletariat.
Don’t give up, I hope the Greens give you a mandate to clean up the scum on the right, I think I’m begining to enjoy politics in a hole new way
Holden Caulfield said :
TERK ER JERBS!!!
Roy Morgan have released a poll showing:
In ACT: ALP 41.5% (up 0.7%), L-NP 27% (down 7.2%), Greens 27% (up 5.5%) and Others 4.5% (up 1%). This would most likely result in one ACT ALP Senator and one Greens Senator.
(The sample size was 446, giving a margin of error of 4.1%, and the poll was conducted over February – July).
I reckon the greens have a good show of getting a seat in the senate this time. Kerrie Tucker was unlucky last election and wouldn’t it be ironic if Kate Lundy lost HER seat and not Gary Humphries as widely assumed.
The ALP might be in for a shock over what they did to Kevin Rudd!
icantbelieveitsnotbutter said :
Yes Lin’s definitely not the only example of the Greens picking up intelligent, organised and altruistic candidates. People dismiss the Greens as inexperienced but you can only examine the candidate and the policies.
Do the greens actually have any policies? Other than the “stop the public service cuts” line? I haven’t seen them come out with anything realistic or sensible yet, so with a lack of normal political indicators you could try voting based on how good looking each candidate was. But that case the electoral commission would have to cut Lin off the ballot paper all together as she is morbidly obese, that can’t be a good role model for anyone in our community.
The Greens are going right down the bottom of the ballot paper where they belong, even below the labor candidate and any other random parties that will never get enough votes to have an impact.
caf said :
Sampling 0.1 percent of the ACT’s population is always a good statistical indicator..
If Lin Hatfield Dodds wins the second ACT seat (she won’t) she would be the least intelligent senator in a senate that also include Senator Conroy. That’s not easy to do.
I do support the Greens on their environmental and IT policies, which is good enough for me to ignore their abhorrent economic policies. So I think I will give my first preference to the Greens number two candidate (Hannah Parris) so that the Greens get my ~$2.50 and I don’t risk supporting Dodds.
Howler said :
No they wont.
bd84 said :
They published a hefty little policy booklet – on only 50 per cent recycled paper, imported from Europe … good enough apparently …
Jim Jones said :
THEY DERK OUR JERBS!!!
But then I remember how that episode finished.
bd84: It’s not great, but it’s not as bad as it sounds. The statistics of sampling say that (as long as the sampling is random) there’s a 95% chance that the true result lies within +/- 4.1% of the 27% given for both Liberal and Green.
To get about a 2% margin of error requires a sample size of around 2000. The returns rapidly dimish the higher you go.
Interestingly, as long as you’re sampling less then about 5% of the population, the margin of error is pretty much independent of population size.
Sif the sampling is random! What time were they contacted? How were they contacted? How was the question asked? Do they screen their calls? Do they own a phone? Do they live in a house? Do they work in an office? Do they even OWN a BODY???
Of course all of you who vote for the Greens are quite happy with this little bit of policy?
http://www.vexnews.com/news/10315/death-tax-greens-party-plans-to-tax-the-dead/
This result is probably more interesting for what it says about the RiotACT readership than anything else.
bd84 said :
Roy Morgan Research was the outfit that did the polls prior to the 2001 election claiming the Labor party would sweep into power. That was, of course, the Tampa/Sept 11 election which saw John Howard and the Liberals sweep back into office with an increased majority.
JessicaNumber: This is true, which is why the reputable polling outfits demographically weight their responses. So if they find that, say, mid-twenties females are underrepresented in their sample, they’ll weight those responses higher.
(This weighting does increase the margin of error a little, too).
Sampling 0.1 percent of the ACT’s population is always a good statistical indicator…
Statistics – you fail at it.
Confidence level: 95%
Confidence interval: +/- 5%
Population: 351,200 (ACT population June 2009 – can use number of voters if you like (~225,000), sample won’t size change)
Sample size required: 384