"Canberra News, Views and Opinion"
The bureau is warning of bumpy stuff
For people in the South Coast, Central West Slopes and Plains, South West Slopes, Riverina, Upper Western, Snowy Mountains, Australian Capital Territory and parts of the Southern Tablelands and Lower Western Forecast Districts.
Issued at 2:47 pm Tuesday, 27 November 2012.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce damaging winds, large hailstones and heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Batemans Bay, Canberra, Wagga Wagga, Albury, Deniliquin, Hay, Tibooburra, Cobar and Bourke.
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I appreciate the bureaus efforts, but I don’t believe them anymore.
Whats the bet this one is a fizzer like every other severe weather warning. I get the feeling they are just covering themselves by crying wolf.
Is there a way for us to wink at us and tell us when its a real one, or a just in case one.
Starting to sprinkle over here in the ‘Gung…Very poor effort at being a thunderstorm, but I hope I am proven wrong.
Just heard a distant rumble. Or maybe it was a bus going past.
Morgan said :
if you read the warning, it covers an area the size of england – they are advising folks within that region that they may experience the hazards of which they warn and that if you take some precautionary measures as they suggest then you may minimise the damages you might suffer if the worst of that warning hits you. it may not – other parts of the region may suffer worse than you, but the science is so complicated that exact warnings for suburbs, even city regions, is ridiculously hardand the most convenient methodology for all concerned is the approach they adopt.
so, to your question, no, not really. but you’d do well to heed these warnings…
Epic thunderclap in the Woden area just now, rain coming down pretty heavily. Let’s see if we get hail… I reckon it’d melt before it landed given the heat around.
Did you notice the word “may” in the warning, Morgan? As in “locations which may be affected”? Not ” every single square metre of the yellow area will have a thunderstorm and be inundated, run for your lives”?.
I think the bureau does a good job, and for your information there was sufficient storm activity to cause power outages in Murrumbateman and Queanbeyan.Where’s that expensive power infrastructure I’m paying for when I need it
Morgan said :
I’d like the bureau to find a way to wink at us.
astrojax said :
Couldn’t agree more. The same line of storms is on its way through the southern Highlands at the moment as has caused damage in other areas this afternoon.
I’d say that was a near miss…
Better luck next time!
Morgan, since you obviously have internet access, the easiest way is to look at the Canberra radar map on the BOM site. You can blow it up to see what is coming our way from various directions.
Check it every hour or so when there is a weather warning for the region and there will be no surprises.
…and it ended after about an half an hour. What a pity.
BOM warning and prediction all quite sound. For your local wink / actual situation / best real time life decision tool are the weather radar loops which IMHO are an awesome resource.
512 km, 256 km, 128 km radius from radar located @ Captains Flat
Here is the 128 km loop url http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDR403.loop.shtml#skip
Even useful on smart phones…. Spot your own vicious thunderstorm – enabled.
Spykler said :
The Gung????
Bwahahahahahahahahahahahahahahhahahahahaa
It was not fun to fly through on the quick leg from Sydney I’ll say that much.
Though all you Hercules passengers will probably just think I’m a whimp.
Poor BOM can’t take a trick. They report that there may be severe storms and then it turns out to be just a bit of normal heavyish rain and everyone is up in arms because it was a bit of fizzler. Then they don’t report weather that turns out to be wilder than expected and everyone is up in arms because they weren’t warned. Damned if they do and damned if they don’t. It’s nature people, it’s unpredictable, stuff happens sometimes.
KB1971 said :
The ‘Gung needs more of the wet stuff today- my tank is only half full!
Yeah I’d call this a fair warning. It basically ended up being heavy rain which is reasonably close at least to what they warned MIGHT happen. If it was a sunny day then I’d be disappointed. At least you can see these warnings and know that you are likely to get heavy rain at the least and possibly a bad storm at worst.
Qaxter said :
And for what it’s worth, an amazingly great photo of The Beast along with some background info may be found at http://the-riotact.com/the-weather-radar-revealed/73428