23 January 2024

With so much on the PM's plate, there's no choice but for the republic to go on the backburner

| Ian Bushnell
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Australia’s Head of State, King Charles II, and Queen Camilla. An anachronism, but there are bigger fish to fry. Photo: BBC.

Has Anthony Albanese broken the hearts of republicans by backing off on holding a referendum dumping the monarchy?

Maybe some will feel betrayed but many, like myself, will see it as an understandable shuffling of priorities.

The PM and his government lost a fair bit of political skin during the Voice campaign and referendum, which was an election promise duly delivered.

Another tilt at constitutional reform so soon, leaving Labor open to the same kind of war of attrition waged by the Opposition against the Voice, would do more harm than good.

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The sheer difficulty of winning a referendum, combined with the deceit and malice of the social media insurgency it would provoke, would have the government on a hiding to nothing.

The Voice result showed just how frustrating it would be to take the republic to the people in the current environment without bipartisan support.

Albanese was right to make good on his promise to hold the Voice referendum and strategically correct to put the republic on the back burner for now.

Acting on the plight of Indigenous people in this country does have urgency. With the republic, time is on our side.

Polling shows majority support for Australia becoming a republic, and that will only solidify as the years pass.

The tricky bit is what kind of republic, something that John Howard expertly exploited in 1999 at the last referendum.

But unless the unresolved issues of our constitutional arrangements are raised again by a rogue Governor-General, the public and the government have more on their minds than who our Head of State is.

Cost of living, for one.

Supermarket prices, energy and fuel bills, and in particular the cost of housing, buying or renting, trump a costly debate about an issue, no matter how worthy, that does not dominate the kitchen table.

That’s especially true when much of the government’s economic agenda feeds into helping Australians cope with increasing costs and, over time, reducing costs, such as boosting the supply of housing and managing the nation’s energy transition.

The government needs to deliver on its promise of 1.2 million new homes over five years but it should also revisit as part of a broader tax reform the settings that have contributed to Australia having some of the highest property prices on the planet.

Ensuring Australia can move away from fossil fuels to renewables, as part of its commitment to fight global warming and climate change, is a massive project that does not need any distractions.

Time is not on our side with this one, thanks to a lost decade of coalition governments that remained in thrall to coal, gas and oil despite the existential threat burning more of these presents and the potential for Australia to be a new energy superpower.

And then there are the thorny foreign policy, security and defence issues confronting Australia.

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The government faces short-term imperatives but also the task of embedding more important long-term strategies to set Australia up for a better future.

Doing this is hard enough in the current short-termist environment of the 24/7 news cycle and drivel that passes for political discourse these days, let alone if you are trying to prosecute a single-issue case like the republic and staging a national vote.

The monarchy is an anachronism, our head of state should be Australian and our constitutional arrangements need to be modernised. No argument.

But there is too much at stake for this government to be blown off course now.

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Given the PMs performance in relation to The Voice, perhaps we republican supporters should be grateful that he has insufficient time available to address the Republic issue! Sue.

I have to say I’m surprised that we haven’t seen a “KFC bucket head” version of the pic at the top of the article. (well I haven’t been able to find one)

The main use for a republic is that is can be resurrected in debate every time Labor needs to divert public attention away from it’s mismanagement of the economy. I’m indifferent to whether I live in a monarchy or republic, but switching to a republic will not solve a single social or economic problem and we should all be sceptical of the motives, ambitions and agendas of those who routinely advocate for an unnecessary change to the constitution.

Spoken like a true liberal supporter. In case you aren’t aware, Australia is just one of many developed countries around the world suffering from high inflation and high interest rates. Besides you seem to have chosen to forget that interest rates started going up whilst the coalition was still in power.

Up pops a blinkered Labor cadre, showing well honed skills in both misinterpretation and misrepresentation. Did I say anything about interest rates?

@Acton
Well given you started the “debate” as part of the blinkered Coalition cadre what did you expect?

Oh, I thought Mr Bushnell (re)started the debate. But one way to end the debate is to obtain agreement on who would be el presidente of the new republik. Perhaps you could also share your views on a replacement flag and anthem too.

@Acton
Oh, so Bushnell saw a need to “divert public attention away from it’s (sic) mismanagement of the economy” did he? I actually thought he was explaining why Labor should not be advancing the republic question for the moment, by highlighting some of the more important matters requiring their attention. But there you go, I guess you can read between the lines a lot better than me.

… and of couse, I’ll happily share my “views on a replacement flag and anthem too”. I have no views on the matter – let’s see if there is popular support for a republic first, shall we?

HiddenDragon8:58 pm 15 Jan 24

With the current British monarch and his heir having wrapped themselves in the cause of climate change (doubtless out of sincere belief, but also, perhaps, with an eye to seeming relevant to those of their subjects who question the point of a steeped-in-tradition hereditary monarchy in modern Britain) the best hope for an Australian republic may turn out to be with a post-Dutton (presumably) Liberal government.

Within the LNP, there will still be cranky memories over the intervention by the then Prince of Wales in Australian politics by way of a fawning BBC interview which invited him (and he did not demur) to criticise the then Morrison government’s climate policies in the lead-up to the 2022 election. That episode certainly spurred open criticism in segments of the Murdoch media which are clearly influential on the LNP, with a clear distinction being drawn between Charles’ behaviour and his venerated mother’s public impartiality.

Constitutional modernisation, including an Australian head of state, could well be a feature of a policy agenda offered by a Liberal leader looking to re-position their party in the crucial middle ground of politics – whether there is a leader with the skill and guts to do that remains to be seen.

@HiddenDragon
I think there were a lot who held the opinion that when QEII departed, due to him being less popular (respected?) than his mother, Charles ascension to the throne would reignite the republic debate in Australia. I’m not sure that actually happened – and I don’t recall seeing a lot of negative press about that BBC interview during Charles’s coronation.

Nevertheless, I think you are correct, “constitutional modernisation” could be an opportunity for a smart Liberal leader.

And it wouldn’t take a lot of guts IMHO. Just offer to hold a “republic plebiscite” – which I agree with Daniel O’CONNELL below (except it would be a plebiscite not a referendum – is the way to go. The easy bit is asking the Yes/No question – the hard bit is deciding on, and getting acceptance of, the model for an Australian republic.

Whenever it happens, it will be a slow process. Reaching agreement on the second part of the equation (the model) could be tied up in conventions, focus groups and committees for years.

“And it wouldn’t take a lot of guts IMHO. Just offer to hold a “republic plebiscite” Be my guest to stomp up the $400m+

@Futureproof
So – because you don’t want a republic, Fp, it’s not appropriate to put the question to the rest of Australia and you use cost as your rationale? It’s the price of democracy, Fp – you know the political model that, presumably, even you support.

Besides, it could be tacked on to a Federal election, which would markedly reduce the cost – any objection to that?

>The PM and his government lost a fair bit of political skin during the Voice campaign and referendum, which was an election promise duly delivered.

No they didn’t, labour movement is no more crippled than it’s ever been in the last 20 years, the political fallout landed squarely on the long tail of the left. Not the centre-left Albo government.

That correction aside, yes the republic question can be stood down, so many issues from: preferred populist model demonstrating it leads to Trumps, to what do we actually gain? We aren’t strong enough to be our own strategic guarantor, the subs will help but papa England (while it won’t) does theoretically have nukes.

Give up that free maybe support, and gain… What? Within margin of error – nothing pretty much.

Daniel O'CONNELL4:43 pm 15 Jan 24

When eventually addressed my thought is that a simple yes/no referendum should be held to marshal the republican sentiment and only then, assuming the change is supported, hold another referendum so everyone can participate in choosing the model.

GrumpyGrandpa12:16 pm 15 Jan 24

I have never heard a convincing argument for ditching the Monarchy.
You’d simply replace the Governor General with a party-aligned politican. Hardly a step forward.

Interesting because I’ve never heard a convincing argument for hereditary monarchy, much less for a foreign one. One of Charles ancestors won a battle hundreds of years ago so we are expected to believe that his family has been ordained by God (another fairytale) to rule over all of us peasants in perpetuity, with Australian peasants being B grade peasants behind the British?
Have some self respect.

@Grumpy Grandpa
“I have never heard a convincing argument for ditching the Monarchy.”

How about the fact that the non-Australian hereditary head of state of another country, the British Monarch (who by default is Austrlia’s monarch), has the Constitutional power (S59) to disallow any law passed by the Parliament, democratically elected by the Australian people, within one year from the Governor-General’s assent?

Jenny Graves4:01 pm 15 Jan 24

The actual model would be the sticking point (as we discovered with Howard’s model), but it wouldn’t necessarily be a party-aligned politician.

GrumpyGrandpa5:02 pm 16 Jan 24

@JustSaying and Jay Bee,

If it ain’t broke….

@GrumpyGrandpa
My original iPhone (an iPhone 4) wasn’t broken, but I recognised I needed to replace it. I realised that not only had the technology changed but so had my lifestyle and work practices, so I needed a model of smart phone that better suited these changes.

JS – the UK is in a mess, and the current King has many issues to deal with, not the least being his dysfunctional family. While what you say may be correct, it will not happen, particularly when the next GG will be appointed by Labor. If it is Linda Burnley, do you really think that could occur?

@Futureproof
Sorry, Fp, you’ve lost me.
What has the appointment of the next GG got to do with a discussion on an Australian republic?

Stephen Saunders12:07 pm 15 Jan 24

One key purpose of The Voice was to kick the republic into Albanese’s second term. Now it’s a complete write-off, during this Labor Government.

The first problem here is that we don”t need a “republic”, we just need to Ditch The Palace. This will never happen, under an Albanese or under a Dutton.

I claim, with the support of both a Liberal AND Labor leader, this form of words could win: “To alter the Constitution to replace the Queen by a Governor appointed by a two-thirds majority of the members of the Commonwealth Parliament”. Yep, 1999 redux, but this time around, no R-for-republic, no P-for-president.

@Stephen Saunders
Perhaps you need to do your homework, Stephen

One of the fundamental reasons for the failure of the 1999 referendum was the disharmony within the Yes camp over the method of electing “the President”, as predicted in this article: https://www.theguardian.com/world/1999/jan/23/4

I don’t think you will find mention of the words “Republic” or “President” influenced anyone but the avowed monarchists and your proposed wording will still send them into a fit of apoplexy.

Becoming a Republic is not going to reduce the cost of living. Albanese cannot read the room. People do not like referendums. Too bad Albanese does not learn from history:
https://www.aec.gov.au/Elections/referendums/Referendum_Dates_and_Results.htm

@Futureproof
Yet again, your capacity for not thinking (and in this case reading) before posting is on show.

Contrary to what you say, Albanese has read the room perfectly. What don’t you understand about the article’s headline “… there’s no choice but for the republic to go on the backburner”?

Seriously, Fp, your over the top political myopia and partisanship brings you undone far too often.

Plenty of people mirroring what I’ve said

@Futureproof
Really, Fp? I can’t see “plenty of people” commenting that Albanese wants to press ahead with a republic in this thread. But in the interests of fair play, I’m happy for you to prove me wrong by pointing out those comments which “mirror” what you said.

1975 should commence again!

@TheSilver
Shhhh … don’t mention it. The true belivers have almost got over ‘maintaining the rage’.

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