17 October 2023

Where to now for bold policy ideas?

| Chris Johnson
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Anthony Albanese with Yes volunteers

The PM has some soul-searching to do after Saturday’s emphatic referendum defeat. Photo: Anthony Albanese Facebook.

The red dust is still settling, but the nation knew pretty soon after polls closed on Saturday (14 October) that it had said no to recognising First Nations people in the Constitution and giving them a voice to parliament.

And it was a pretty emphatic no.

As heartening as it is to know that Canberra bucked the trend, the nationwide result must be accepted and a new way forward found.

But therein lies the question of what that new way forward might look like.

The referendum’s result doesn’t bode well for progressive policy-making across the spectrum.

It seems it’s now easy to dismiss big ideas that aim high for better outcomes.

We can expect that no one will be brave enough in the near future to propose a new referendum on Australia becoming a republic.

Something as plainly clear as Australia being a grown-up nation with its own head of state residing in this country without archaic ties to a monarch on the other side of the world would be easily manipulated (again) by fear-mongering and petty politics.

READ ALSO ACT’s Yes vote for Voice referendum a ‘silver lining’ as Territory considers further change

Of course, we can forget another Voice referendum, too.

But it goes much deeper than those two examples.

Australia has just entered a zone of timidity when it comes to devising policy.

There are already calls for Anthony Albanese to resign over the referendum’s result. While very few are taking those calls seriously (yet), we shouldn’t expect the Prime Minister to be rushing to present big, bold policy ideas on any front for a while.

He’s just had his tail whipped and the Labor Party is licking its wounds.

Indeed, rightwing plotters within the ALP have already begun to see what ground they can secure within the party since Saturday’s results. Those people should pull their heads in for the sake of the country and some stability going forward.

What can Labor do? It can’t lurch further to the right – the Coalition has that ground sewn up.

But neither can it move to the left. Saturday’s result put paid to that.

At best, we will see a cycle of bureaucracy that throws up policy ideas only to bury them quite quickly.

There can’t be much in this for the Liberals either.

The Coalition did well (not good), turning what should have been a straightforward idea into a political fight. But while the fear-mongering worked, it’s hardly likely to win them the next election.

READ ALSO APS morale may be low, but buck up and be part of the solution

Teal independent constituents voted in favour of the Voice and the Coalition needs to win some of them back if it wants to regain office.

The Coalition’s approach to the referendum secured the result it sought, but it also exposed more of how it operates.

Voters can naturally differentiate between a referendum and a federal election.

There are very few moderates left in the Coalition and this referendum debate has pretty much quashed the few who remained. That delights the hardliners, but it won’t endear the wider electorate.

The irony now is that some of the fears the no camp fermented in the minds of Australians could actually come to pass – not because they voted yes, but because they voted no.

Walking together for a better future was rejected, but that doesn’t mean First Nations people will now lie down and be quiet.

But possibly a greater tragedy is that big thinkers, progressive minds and bold policy across almost every area of government have been stared down.

Policy has just been straight-jacketed.

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Team NO won with limited funds. Team YES with the backing of government and corporations lost by a county mile. Lefties, get over it

NO means NO !

You do have to laugh that even after the referendum being defeated comprehensively, supporters like the author still think that the Voice was a simple proposition that self evidently should have been approved. No chance of any introspection on the actual reasons for the failure, it’s the voters who were wrong.

Hmmm, how did that attitude work out in the selling of the referendum again?

Big policy ideas aren’t dead, just poorly devised and explained ones.

Establishing a consultative group should have been a simple proposition. That lots of people pretended that it was more than that made it a complex proposition.

Paul,
Establishing a consultative group is a simple proposition.

The government could have done it months ago. Absolutely nothing stopping them from doing it right now.

In fact, if it was so crucial to achieving outcomes as they claimed, why didn’t they? Apparently they are unable to do their jobs without it

Constitutional change however, is never simple, nor should it be.

Which ironically was part of the failings of the Government and their campaigning. In some arenas claiming it was an essential change that would deliver real and meaningful results, whilst in others, talking it down as a simple consultative body that really would have little power.

Playing both sides of the street is rarely helpful in politics.

If it was simply a consultative body as you state, similar the MANY that already exist for his purpose all around the country, then there would be zero reason to insert it into the constitution or to wedge it into the middle of the political process now would there?

If it was simply a consultative group then why are people so very upset given that there are MANY of them run by organisations such as NIAA and the Coalition of Peaks in place to act as a bridge between these groups and the government already?

I would have thought it was obvious why they didn’t simply legislate it: they wanted to establish a consultative group that would survive a change of government and which had a legitimacy outside day-to-day politics. That’s why they didn’t opt for an ATSIC II model.

Equally, the political imperative that prevents them from establishing a body like that now is obvious. It would immediately be characterised as a rampantly anti-democratic initiative, probably by many of the same people who ran the ‘No’ campaign.

I’ve yet to see a credible legal opinion that suggested that it would have caused a Constitutional problem, despite sundry Chicken Littles claiming that it would bring Government to a standstill. I’m happy to accept the views of Ken Hayne on this point.

Bob – I’ve set out the reason in my other reply. An additional observation would be that inclusion in the constitution would have amounted to both a Constitutional recognition of First Nations people as well as a popular legitimation of the institution itself (which the bodies you have mentioned do not have).

If you want to argue that those are purely symbolic matters then so are Anzac Day marches. It seems that symbolism actually matters.

The question in my mind is: why do you think it would have been other than a consultative group given the very clear bounds of the question posed in the referendum, and the related draft of section 129?

Paul, the harbour master called, he said that ship has already sailed, you can stop selling tickets for it.

Paul13, you’re offering a “what could possibly go wrong” argument to re-hash the debate. The debate is over, except for any historical perspective now to be applied to the process.

On that, there was an interesting article yesterday by Keith Windschuttle (cue howls of horror from the wealthy inner-city “yes” elite) in Quadrant (more howling from the same intolerant ABC-viewing upper-class coterie), “Why the Voice Went Down”. He writes about Labor’s internal machinations leading up to the referendum is that earlier this year. I’d like to quote more fully, but space and copyright prevents. So here’s what maybe is the kernel (but there’s more):

While Albo had been “insisting publicly that the Voice was only an advisory group, just a modest change and a gesture that amounted to no more than “good manners”, [Megan] Davis was undermining his case … ”

“As a member of the Prime Minister’s Referendum Working Group, Davis helped draft the question that the referendum would put to voters and the constitutional amendment that would result from its approval. In March 2023, when Albanese announced the question concerned, the product was not what the Labor government had expected. …

“Titled “Recognition of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Peoples”, the new chapter had three clauses, the second of which said:

Quote “The Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Voice may make representations to the Parliament and the Executive Government of the Commonwealth on matters relating to Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples.” Unquote

“The jarring note in all this was one that the government had not anticipated. This was the right of the Voice to make representations to the “executive government”. Instead of confining its political advice and recommendations to the parliament via the relevant minister, the Voice would be able to approach departments and institutions of the public service, as well as more independent commissions, authorities and agencies of the Commonwealth. With the executive government at its disposal, the Voice would have unprecedented powers and an almost unlimited ability to cause problems for any government. Moreover, in disputes between the government and the Voice, any resolution would be the responsibility of the judges of the High Court. Albanese sent the draft back to the working group but Davis stuck to her guns and refused to change the wording.” …

Now, you can go with “what could possibly go wrong”, and 39% of (mainly white, wealthy, elite) voters did. Another 61% didn’t. And that’s that. But what’s more interesting — read again that closing sentence above — butter-wouldn’t-melt Albo *saw it wasn’t that simple*.

“I would have thought it was obvious why they didn’t simply legislate it: they wanted to establish a consultative group that would survive a change of government”

A change of government wouldn’t have been simply able to remove it, you’re talking about a democratically elected parliament voting to remove it through legislation for whatever reason required it. A parliament that has a Senate that is very unlikely to see the government (of any party) have a majority any time soon.

Which is ironic, when Yes supporters were claiming that Australians should just trust the parliament to work out the details of the Voice later but at the same time claiming we couldn’t trust a future parliament not to remove it in the same way.

Why would a government want to get rid of a simple consultative body that was going to achieve great things for Indigenous Australians? Seems a very strange thing to claim unless it wasn’t actually going to work like that.

The case for constitutional enshrinement was extraordinarily weak and the electorate agreed.

“Equally, the political imperative that prevents them from establishing a body like that now is obvious. It would immediately be characterised as a rampantly anti-democratic initiative, probably by many of the same people who ran the ‘No’ campaign.”

So, the claims around it being essential for proper Indigenuous consultation were just made up political talking points. I agree, there’s plenty of other ways to engage and consult all people that don’t involve changing the Constitution.

“I’ve yet to see a credible legal opinion that suggested that it would have caused a Constitutional problem,”

Well if you personally haven’t read a “credible” opinion outlining the potential issues and risks, then why did we even need a vote? Ken Hayne a known long time Voice and Indigenous rights supporter says it’s fine. I can’t believe everyone else didn’t just acquiesce to their betters.

But the one thing we can be absolutely certain of, a no vote contains no constitutional problems at all. Which is part of the reason we are here.

Rustygear is that it? Really? That’s all you’ve got?

You know that lobby groups already make representations to both Ministers AND government agencies all the time, right? Somehow the wheels of Government grind on regardless.

With due respect, I’ll take the opinion of a High Court judge over someone like Windschuttle as to the Constitutional implications any day. His argument that the ability to make representations amounts to ‘unprecedented powers and an almost unlimited ability to cause problems for any government’ is a palpable nonsense. That some people find it credible says a lot about the levels of civics education in the country.

As Hayne said:

“It has been suggested that if the proposed constitutional amendment is made, litigation will derail the intended effect of the amendment or may derail the ordinary workings of parliament and the executive… I do not share these fears. I think they are baseless.”

Paul13, others have replied, and really, you’re rehashing. Anyhow:

1) “You know that it was just a lobby group right” — “Yes” used a strategy of shape shifting, or motte and bailey; or as I called it, “shell-gaming” on this. It was frustrating because it was clearly intended as bad faith argument. So if “no” said “constitution”, “yes” would say “oh no its just an advisory group”. If “no” said “so no need for constitution then”, “yes” would say “oh no, it needs to be more than any old advisory group”. Similar trick used when talking about “recognition”. The “yes” side relied on their arrogant elitist belief that all “no” were dumb hicks, so wouldn’t see the trick.

2) Hayne: He was advising the Indigenous working group on the Voice. So he’s hardly a neutral commentator. Of course he’s going to say the constitution has no power, or whatever he needs to say, to advance his belief that he’s on the side of angels. This was another frustrating part of “yes”: it was all authority assertions of “experts say”, without actually spelling out the logic, which would have entailed detailed debate. Again, “yes” believed they could get away with that because their elitist hubris drove them to regard all opponents as sub-normal.

But it’s over now. The ruling-class elites lost. That’s because people weren’t as stupid as the self-important, highly conceited, condescending, wealthy white inner city left-progs had convinced themselves they were. “Yes” just looked sneering and manipulative.

Getting back to my original point above, before you tried to snowstorm the argument with the same tired old tricks: in historical perspective, it will be really interesting to look at the dynamic between Megan Davis (who clearly didn’t believe Hayne: she thought constitutional amendment was a powerful coercive asset) and the other hardline “frontier wars” activists, and frontman Albo with his daggy dad schtick, nasally tape-looping “eergh, it’s just a walk down the road”. The story hasn’t come out what went on in the corridors of Labor power — yet.

T&C of Riotact state:
“Region Media expects and welcomes contributions that stimulate debate and discussion and we aim to provide balanced coverage of issues.”
Fail.
The coverage of the referendum by Riotact has been completely and deliberately unbalanced.
The editor selected and continues to select authors to write articles that exclusively promote the Yes side. Articles are now written from a bitter ‘we wuz robbed’ perspective to provide an irritatingly shallow, biased and false narrative.
60% of Australians voted a resounding No. Common sense from the common people voting in the common interest prevailed to prevent the Constitution being hijacked by vested interests, as was intended by the creators of the Constitution.
On this issue Riotact has failed to “provide balanced coverage of issues”.

100% to their credit though, at least they are allowing dissenting voices to comment on the articles which is much more than can be said for most publications. The majority of these that even allowed comments, were highly selective on the comments they permitted to be published and refused to post many entirely reasonable arguments that broke zero of their stated rules.

A perfect example of this was news.com.au who posted an article, the name of the author currently escapes me but he is a regular contributor and rabid YES supporter. He wrote the usual hit piece and to my shock comments were enabled. About 50 comments were quickly made, none of which broke any rules but additionally none of them agreed with him and were picking holes in his flimsy arguments. Suddenly all comments were deleted and commenting on the article was disabled.

Sure, there is an obvious bias to the publishing of articles on here but it could be much worse.

Bob, this often occurred to me too, that RiotAct has been faultlessly liberal (in the old sense of ‘open minded’) in allowing comments from both sides, even when things got a little heated and there’d have been a reason to decline a “no” comment on T&C grounds. So kudos to RiotAct for that.

I guess we’ll never know if anyone ever actually submitted a full article from the “no” side to RiotAct in the first place, so I can’t pass judgement there.

Nick Stevens7:28 am 18 Oct 23

Here we go… continuation of the lies and misinformation nonsense, accept it, the concept of voting for an unseen an unknown legislation was unpalatable to most Australians.
Of course Albanese should resign, the fractured society he has now left behind, is his legacy.
It is nothing to do with “right wing plotters”, calling for his resignation, more those of his party who represent the low to middle level income electorates, those who feel the cost of living pressures the most, reacting to the waste of 450 million bucks, to satisfy the vanity the enlightened ones.

Stephen Saunders2:31 am 18 Oct 23

If like me you want to Ditch Charles, you should be hoping that Albanese stays right away from the issue, because he will only screw it up.

Instead of small-target legal changes to delink the Palace, he would go for a grand Republican Model with a complicated election no one can understand.

Yes, of course, 61% of Australians were wrong recognising and refusing a crock. “Yes” and it’s misguided, naive adherents could never be wrong.

HiddenDragon8:36 pm 17 Oct 23

“We can expect that no one will be brave enough in the near future to propose a new referendum on Australia becoming a republic.”

True, but the future PM who will have the guts and the skill to make that happen is probably already in the parliament.

As to reforms of substance, rather than symbolism, Australia’s date with fiscal destiny is getting ever nearer which means that bold policies of the sort which were pursued in the first couple of terms of the Hawke government and, in some respects, in the first term of the Howard government, will be unavoidable for both sides of politics.

In the meantime, there are less stirring and polarising (than the Voice), but in truth potentially far more impactful, policies such as the expansion of VET and the broader skills agenda and related science and industry policies to be getting on with.

The prime minster went and said, that the reason he still ran a refendum that was knowing or should have known was going to fail was because they told him too.

I thought he was the one running the country. Clearly he wants to blame others and not take responsiblity.

“The Coalition’s approach to the referendum secured the result it sought, but it also exposed more of how it operates.
Voters can naturally differentiate between a referendum and a federal election.”

Watch out. Evidence and description based decision making. Such an exposure.
“Check out this guy, actually uses research”

Its funny you say they can split a referendum and federal election, every local election we have voters are worries that they’ll lose their Federal jobs if they vote in Local Liberals.
Clearly they can’t work it out, beg to be proven wrong on this please.
Even lefty media doesn’t split them apart.

The best thing Albanese can do for the country is resign. The only thing he’s achieved is longevity. This entire referendum was flawed with lack of detail and constant changes in narrative. He is utterly incompetent and nothing he’ll do between now and the next election will improve the lives of Australians doing it tough.

“Walking together for a better future was rejected, but that doesn’t mean First Nations people will now lie down and be quiet.”

What the? Back on the “trash plebs are racist haters” narrative again? How many times: nobody is rejecting a “better future” for Aboriginal people. But the way you elitists monopolise the policy space while the situation steadily worsens, makes people think you don’t actually have the answer. Things have gotten *worse* under the progressive left sanctimonious moralising approach. Its so obvious! And yet you’re all too full of yourselves to see it! When someone fresh like Jacinta Price gets up, you just howl her down! You talk about listening to a voice, yet you’re determined not to hear hers. It’s all fingers in ears while you chant “racist racist racist”. Really, it’s pathetic.

“But possibly a greater tragedy is that big thinkers, progressive minds and bold policy across almost every area of government have been stared down.”

Can you elitists ever get the idea that the sun does not actually shine from your own nether regions? You’re all so wedded to the idea that there’s absolutely no possible way ever, in this universe or the next, that you could ever, ever possibly be wrong. How do your swollen heads fit through the door?

Look, dude, you’re the establishment. Normally, nobody else can get a word in sideways. After the long march through the institutions, you control every policy space in the country. The only reason it’s different just at the moment, is Albo rushed the referendum through before others in the sector thought it was ready. For once, a major policy decision came into the public realm. People had a chance to think about it for themselves. “Chortle chortle” you say, “proles aren’t capable of thinking. No, they’re dumb racists who were brainwashed by far-right propaganda”. Dude: the “yes” campaign outspent the “no” by what, a factor of 1:5? The entire mainstream media was chocka with “yes” messaging. Sports bodies, celebrities, you name it. If anyone was going to be brainwashed, “Yes” would have won by a mile.

You really need to understand: You’ve held the indigenous policy sector with an iron grip for decades. You’ve monopolised most policy sectors. This is no longer a classical liberal democracy. *That’s* the tragedy. You guys found the back door: you and your mates don’t enter these policy spaces through parliamentary process, you “psst psst” to you university union buddies, “come on, lets colonise this bureaucracy”. And you’ve done it for decades. You absolutely control those spaces! It’s already a one-party state: yours, the prog left’s — with a decorative layer of parliamentary process on top, to keep up appearances. You’re a sclerotic blight. You’re not ‘big thinkers’, you’re dogmatic one-track conformists to your own establishment and class interests. Any failures are on *you*.

I thought it was amazing when Albanese has been asked over the last few days, “where to next?” His answer, “we need to wait to talk to the Indigenous leaders who have gone into mourning”.

Who exactly is in charge of the government? Surely they are not really that incompetent at their jobs?

I think it perfectly exemplified the entire reason the referendum failed in the first place.

The “aboriginal leaders gone into mourning” is a shocking political manipulation, designed for maximum white guilt. It’s meant to construct the narrative that the “no” vote was a direct racist attack on Aboriginal people. The subtext is that the referendum was the only possible policy, and now its defeated, it’s like Aboriginal people being killed all over again. This is false, and it’s an egregious slur against the majority of the voting population. Extremely, extremely divisive move by the ruling elite. They are deliberately trying to cause the widest possible rift in society they can create. And this is the wealthiest, whitest elite of this country doing this, the ruling class. That’s what they are doing to this country.

GrumpyGrandpa12:32 pm 17 Oct 23

“Where to now for bold policy ideas?” Surely well thought out ideas are better and less costly, than ideologically driven brain-farts?

Mr Albanese would have known that Referendums just DON’T get passed without bipartisan support, but to heck with that, let’s just blow $400 million on the chance of a speculative “bold idea”, getting up!
Where were the other party members and advisors? Didn’t they tell the Emperor that he was naked?

Crickey, $400 million could have made a difference to Indigenous health programs…..

Australians have been misled and let down by politicans (from all sides) with various ideologically ideas or by self-interest. And I’m having a go at all persuasions here, not just the current rabble.

Can we please have a few politicans who will stand up and call things for what they are, without us needing to cut through the spin.

This will be the case until we move to de-Murdoch our media. We need systems to call out lies and misinformation.

…and in your view “lies and misinformation” is any opinion that disagrees with you? I believe that is referred to as political censorship and generally frowned upon in any non-authoritarian countries.

Yes of course, it’s Murdoch! Bad Rupert! Has it ever occurred to you that maybe, just maybe 61% of the Australian population are Correct? Is it so hard for you to recognise and accept Alboeing’s idea was a crock right from day one?

Chris, just a thought here… instead of repeatedly (and incorrectly) asserting why people in the other camp decided to vote NO, maybe you could ask them and actually listen to the answers instead?

It would lead to a much better understanding of those that hold a differing opinion to yourself.

“The Coalition did well (not good), turning what should have been a straightforward idea into a political fight. But while the fear-mongering worked”

Good to see the YES side still refusing to accept the reality that the NO side wasn’t hoodwinked into voting NO, they did it from an informed position. This is unlike those who voted yes AFTER Albo came out on the record admitting they were hiding the details of how this would work until after the vote as they knew that people would see things in there that would cause them to vote NO.

https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/detail-of-indigenous-voice-to-come-after-referendum-albanese-20220731-p5b5zj.html

Who are the uninformed ones here, those who voted NO because the YES side was intentionally hiding details from the public or those that voted YES, even knowing that those details were being intentionally withheld from them?

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