3 July 2007

Election rumours

| Ntp
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Just received a rumour that the PM may be calling a National Election early next month. Nothing on the news feeds as yet, any confirmations or denials out there?

[ED (Ntp) – To clarify; my “source” informed me the election date will be announced in six weeks time with the election 4-6 weeks after that.]

As taiyaki states in the comments;

“There needs to be at least 33 days between his visit to the GG and the polling day, so that rules out Aug 4. Usually Australian elections are the minimum (ever since Hawke went of for a long campaign and nearly lost governemnt), so if he were to call one for Aug 11, he would do so next Monday. Possible, but unlikely.”

Most pundits agree.

More info on Federal Elections can be found at the Australian Electoral Commission website and if you haven’t already done so it might be a good time to enrol to vote or update your enrolment if you have recently moved. I’ve printed off the forms for myself just now.

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What? You mean Johnny’s planning to spend his next term living in the Lodge?

Oh, you must be referring to the removalist vans seen outside Kirribilli and the Lodge in recent days…

Not sure, Swissbignose, not sure. You could be right. One would have to be in a major department and need to know that stuff … otherwise one would just be speculating. There are, perhaps, other ways to tell without being an insider but I’m not telling!

swissbignose2:45 pm 05 Jul 07

Just a further comment along the themes of what Sasha is (I believe) trying to point out… there is no activity occurring in a major Government department that would indicate that an election is about to be called (and won’t be for at least 3 weeks)

VicePope, it’s a little unsettling that you are able to recognise PMC folk in Manuka or anywhere else, for that matter.

As for the major predictor of an election, I was just thinking that the PMs car driving to the GGs house is usually a good one … but there are others. Your response though suggests that you already know the answer (and it’s not the one you mentioned)!

Sasha – and what is it? Apart from PM&C people suddenly disappearing from Manuka?

There is one good predictor that an election is in the air ….

It must be true. Rudd has already been measured for his APEC Dryzabone and Akubra.

I disagree, but Howard needs some kind of edgy reason to scare the populace into voting for him. Like some kind of Australian Terrorist being captured or something. Maybe something involved with the stuff going on in England at the moment. Oh wait, there is.

But then he’d need to make a few attacks on Rudd’s credibility, like he did of Latham in the leadup to the election, oh wait, there’s been those rumours surfacing about Rudd’s only a puppet leader…

Time’s ripe actually…

This afternoon, Mike from the Driveshow on 2CC was saying that he got word the election would be called soon, stating that his source was The RiotACT. He proceeded to mention RiotACT about five more times. Free advertising, thanks Mike!

I hope the PM doesn’t read this site! I don’t think he’s thought that goats from out of space could threaten our national security but I can tell you that with all this stuff going on, I’m more alarmed that alert. Have you heard that EXTRA police will patrol tonight’s third State of Origin match in Brisbane, following the arrest of Gold Coast-based doctor Mohammed Haneef in connection with terror plots in the United Kingdom. Definitely plausible. Lang park is a national monument after all ….

only if the goat was endangered. or cute (at least, in a goaty sort of way). or apparently intelligent.

Doesn’t the government need to get us frightened or hostile about something before an election. Say a terror plot, involving Al-Quaeda and the ACTU and the Greens.

Indeed. Just the usual muppets.

Move along nothing clever to see here

Dear TAD, no abuse intended! I thought you were being cryptic (or possibly very clever) with your nickname. The acronym has some meaning in this town. My apologies. No abuse intended. Not my style.
Sasha

Geez Sasha I’m used to getting abused for my comments not my nickname.

John winston Churchil Howard seat of Benalong is after the redistribution, marginal. Libco might get back in without Johnny.

There wont be an election until after APEC Leaders in September. August is just not going to happen.

Could we dare dream to have Honest John again??
I am positively retching at the thought.

mudge-python4:19 pm 03 Jul 07

Check out this break down:
http://www.ozpolitics.info/blog/2007/07/01/election-timetable-2/

[Site seems to be down at the moment]

Dear “TAD”. Is you name an acronym for something significant? 🙂 I didn’t think so!

In any case, your source – while incredibly valuable – wasn’t the PM last time I checked, so maybe, just maybe, even he doesn’t know when the election will be?

VYBerlinaV8 now_with_added grunt3:51 pm 03 Jul 07

Who cares? Johnny will get back in anyway. Hooray!

Before APEC and his chance to pull on the Dryzabone and Akubra?

Tell your source he’s dreamin.

swissbignose2:14 pm 03 Jul 07

And the PM might miss out on being head of Australia when APEC comes to town…

In the next month, some/most taxpayers will get an increase due to tax cuts – but that’s not going to be enough to justify going to the polls quickly.

I can’t see it happening.

There needs to be at least 33 days between his visit to the GG and the polling day, so that rules out Aug 4. Usually Australian elections are the minimum (ever since Hawke went of for a long campaign and nearly lost governemnt), so if he were to call one for Aug 11, he would do so next Monday. Possible, but unlikely.

I think you can safely add that rumour to the other rumours like, the war in Iraq is over.

Not likely. Costello has said (at the time of the budget) that the election will be in the month that falls between October and December.

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