Skip to content Skip to main navigation

News

We'll switch your business
to Led lighting for Free*

Mike Kelly rolls in Eden Monaro

By johnboy - 13 September 2013 24

The bellwether tag lives on as the ABC reports Eden Monaro is going with government once again:

Labor’s Mike Kelly has conceded defeat in his New South Wales seat of Eden-Monaro.

Dr Kelly is trailing Liberal Party candidate Peter Hendy by just over 600 votes.

Dr Kelly has used Twitter to announce he will be conceding this morning, telling his followers “it’s over” and thanking them for their support.

The outgoing minister for defence materiel has held the seat since 2007, after Kevin Rudd convinced him to contest the seat on the promise he would one day be defence minister in Mr Rudd’s cabinet.

It looked as though his popularity in the seat might prevent or ward off the swing nationwide against him.

What’s Your opinion?


Post a comment
Please login to post your comments, or connect with
24 Responses to
Mike Kelly rolls in Eden Monaro
qbngeek 8:39 am 14 Sep 13

My question now is will Hendy disconnect his FTTP and get the much inferior Coalition NBN that the rest of us will have to suffer with?

Unlike Hendy, Kelly is a genuinely nice guy and always had time for a chat (even in a supermarket while he was grabbing a few things I discovered) and would listen to what you said and give a real response. I have met Hendy a few times and never got anything but canned responses and a ‘holier than thou’ attitude. Hendy’s attitude and the NBN were the main reasons I went from voting Liberal to voting ALP.

IrishPete 7:51 am 14 Sep 13

Oh yeah, forgot to mention the unedifying sight of. a government minister outside the Israeli embassy demonstrating support for yet another Israeli disproportionate reaction to Palestinian resistance.

IP

Thumper 9:45 pm 13 Sep 13

LSWCHP said :

I think this is a very sad result. He seemed to me to be a very decent bloke, and if I lived in EM I would’ve voted for him despite the rest of the toxic Labor stuff.

Kelly seems like a decent bloke. However, some of his warries seem a bit beyond belief.

And no, I’m not denigrating his active service, but really, the guy was never on the pointy stick end.

Having said that, he seems a decent guy who was a decent local member. He should be pissed off with his superiors…

EvanJames 9:30 pm 13 Sep 13

He was primarily a party man, his efforts and loyalty were to the party first, then his constituents. I found him deeply underwhelming and put him at the bottom, one above Hendy (and two above the Fred Nile person).

c_c™ 9:25 pm 13 Sep 13

IrishPete said :

c_c™ said :

Mike should be quite proud of the result, in an election where there was a large party swing nationally, to be so competitive probably says a lot about his profile as a local member, that it was so high that it could offset the dislike of the Labor brand.

Hang on, there was a 4.6% swing against Kelly on first preferences compared with a 2.5% swing against Labor across NSW. Doesn’t sound to me like a stellar performance.

The two-party preferred result wasn’t much different.

IP

Ok, let’s go through the numbers.

Back in 2007, Nairn in a change election suffered a -6.67% swing 2PP (or -5.85% 1st, while Kelly took a 6.64% swing on first preferences to him).

In 2010 despite a NSW average 2PP swing against Labor of 4.84%, Kelly managed a 1.95% swing to him 2PP (or .3% on first preferences when the NSW first preference swing against Labor was -6.84%).

So in his first election, he got the full swing against the incumbent Liberal and then some, and then in a subsequent election, grew his margin in an election that was against his party.

Now for 2013 and the results so far.

The first preference swing against Labor in NSW is 2.5% as you say (and 3.23% 2PP).

And you’re also right that Kelly has gone above that, his first preference swing is -4.6%. However the Liberal candidate only received a 3.35% swing. Palmer United received a very large swing to them, the Greens received a decent swing against them. And after all that, there’s only 800 or so votes in it.

I’ll be interested to see the preferences flows when they’re released, but overall, while it’s a firm defeat for Kelly, I’d stand by saying it was a decent effort to make it so close at an election of this character.

LSWCHP 8:48 pm 13 Sep 13

I think this is a very sad result. He seemed to me to be a very decent bloke, and if I lived in EM I would’ve voted for him despite the rest of the toxic Labor stuff.

IrishPete 8:47 pm 13 Sep 13

c_c™ said :

Mike should be quite proud of the result, in an election where there was a large party swing nationally, to be so competitive probably says a lot about his profile as a local member, that it was so high that it could offset the dislike of the Labor brand.

Hang on, there was a 4.6% swing against Kelly on first preferences compared with a 2.5% swing against Labor across NSW. Doesn’t sound to me like a stellar performance.

The two-party preferred result wasn’t much different.

IP

FXST01 7:58 pm 13 Sep 13

ricci said :

Mike ignored the Defence pensioners for years, only paying lipservice to changing indexation to AWE. Even when the stance softened it still was discriminatory according to the age of the pensioner. Lundy is the same re Commonwealth superannuants.

All it would have taken was the defence pensions to be fixed and he would have probably won E-M as there are heaps of defence families in his old electorate.

c_c™ 6:38 pm 13 Sep 13

ricci said :

Mike ignored the Defence pensioners for years, only paying lipservice to changing indexation to AWE.

When was he ever the relevant Minister for that? His last position was Defence Materials, and before that a Parliamentary Secretary for Defence. Warren Snowden has been Minister for Defence Personnel since 2007, and Vet Affairs since 2010.

ricci 5:55 pm 13 Sep 13

Mike ignored the Defence pensioners for years, only paying lipservice to changing indexation to AWE. Even when the stance softened it still was discriminatory according to the age of the pensioner. Lundy is the same re Commonwealth superannuants.

IrishPete 5:47 pm 13 Sep 13

Maybe he’ll get a Senate seat to keep him active.

He always seemed like a nice bloke apart from being a big fan of the military-industrial complex.

He was my MP. Now I have “children overboard” Hendy.

IP

Roundhead89 5:41 pm 13 Sep 13

Bye bye Groucho Marx, bye bye Sandy Mountains and your other silly nonsense. Time for the adults to take over.

c_c™ 5:38 pm 13 Sep 13

Mike should be quite proud of the result, in an election where there was a large party swing nationally, to be so competitive probably says a lot about his profile as a local member, that it was so high that it could offset the dislike of the Labor brand.

caf 5:31 pm 13 Sep 13

Personally I think the ALP would be wise to encourage Mike Kelly to run again in E-M at the next election – he was a solid performer, and seems to be the right kind of candidate for the seat.

MERC600 5:09 pm 13 Sep 13

Interesting JohnBoy that this post has received no comments. I guess after a election campaign that lasted for damm near a year, people are just bloody glad its over.

Related Articles

CBR Tweets

Sign up to our newsletter

Top
Copyright © 2017 Riot ACT Holdings Pty Ltd. All rights reserved.
www.the-riotact.com | www.b2bmagazine.com.au | www.thisiscanberra.com

Search across the site