5 December 2024

Worrying signs for Labor with an election looming

| Chris Johnson
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Hon Anthony Albanese MP, Prime Minister of Australia

Opinion polling and commentary are giving Prime Minister Anthony Albanese a few things to worry about. Photo: Michelle Kroll.

Labor is in a bit of trouble, according to the latest opinion polling, and now the Greens are boldly and publicly outlining demands in exchange for their support for a minority government.

Next year’s election is destined to be centred on the cost of living and, thanks to Peter Dutton, that’s where the Federal Government is facing the biggest challenge,

The Opposition Leader is relentless in blaming the government for the hardship many Australians are currently facing.

He even used Tuesday’s (3 December) three-year anniversary of Labor’s promise to bring household power bills down to remind voters it hasn’t happened.

During the 2022 federal election campaign, Anthony Albanese promised every household would get a $275 power bill cut by 2025.

Mr Dutton delighted in issuing a statement to mark the anniversary and point out that it remains an unfulfilled promise.

“And he didn’t just promise it once,” the Opposition Leader said.

“Labor promised you a $275 cut to your electricity bills 97 times before the last election.”

Cost of living has been the Coalition’s mantra for the past three years, and opinion polls are showing it might be onto something.

An Essential Poll published this week (commissioned by The Guardian) shows a majority of Australians are not happy with Labor’s efforts over housing costs, and they’re not too thrilled about the government’s handling of the economy in general. However, there is strong support for the government’s social media ban for under 16s.

Of the 1123 (demographically weighted) voters polled across the nation, 53 per cent rated the government’s performance as being ‘poor’ on ‘increasing the amount of affordable housing’.

Within that group, 30 per cent rated it ‘very poor’, with 21 per cent of overall respondents rating it as ‘good’ and 26 per cent rating it as ‘neither good nor poor’.

Meanwhile, Greens leader Adam Bandt has put it out in the open that he’s prepared to formalise his party’s support for Labor at the next election, offering certainty if the PM falls short of a majority.

But the Greens would need some – also formalised – assurances on their progressive agenda.

“We certainly want to make it clear as we go into the next election that we have pushed as hard as we can in this parliament and got some really good outcomes for people,” Mr Bandt told the ABC’s Afternoon Briefing program on Tuesday.

“As we go to the next election, the Greens position will be to keep Peter Dutton out and push the next government to act on things like health and housing and climate and environment.”

Finance Minister Katy Gallagher told the ABC that Mr Bandt was “getting ahead of himself” and that a majority government offered far more stability than a minority one.

She said the government was determined to win a second term in its own right on the merits of its track record in office and the amount of legislation it has passed through the parliament.

READ ALSO Labor needs to show some fight and again be a party of reform to fend off Coalition

For his part, the Prime Minister is standing by Labor’s economic record during his first term in office.

“Inflation peaked higher and earlier overseas than it did here. Interest rates were higher overseas, inflation was higher and it was earlier,” Mr Albanese told the ABC.

“The impact because of where we are in the supply chain occurred later here and hence why inflation that we inherited with a six in front of it when we came to office and rising, now has a two in front of it and is falling.

“Real wages are increasing, particularly in areas like childcare and aged care, where we’ve provided for special increases we have a rise in business investment as well.

“We have more small businesses than we’ve ever had before in Australia.

“And as well, we have produced tax cuts for every single Australian taxpayer. Now, all of those measures have been opposed by Peter Dutton.

“People would have been worse off under Peter Dutton if he had his way because we would have had none of that cost of living relief.

“And what we’re doing now is outlining what a second term agenda will be and that Australians will be better off if Labor is able to continue to build on the foundations that we have laid during this first term.”

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Albo and co have been absolutely useless. Delivered pretty much nothing to help anyone, anywhere in this amazing country. When people are hurting the most!!!

I don’t know how much time he thinks it takes to make a difference. But in this term it has only been negative and ineffective. And even three years in I still here constant blaming of the former government.

Time for a big change! This incompetent bunch only pretend to care. Here’s a tip Albo… Maybe do your job rather than focus on your lavish property portfolio! 👎

They are not in trouble in Canberra. We will vote as we always vote. Just like we did last month. Canberrans don’t require facts about the long lists of broken promises or the details behind why we are WAY more in debt per capita than anyone else in Australia.
We claim to be a clever bunch. Sadly, I don’t think so.

The elephant in the room that no-one seems to be considering is what will happen to the Oz economy if Trump goes ahead with his tariff plan and triggers a world-wide trading crisis (and possible recession). Which party will be best suited to deal with all that? Is Dutton capable of doing anything other than mimicking Trump slogans? Will he have the flexibility to use levers to help protect Australians (including possibly increasing government spending) or will that go against his rigid thought process on economic management?

I just couldn’t bring myself to vote for that smug PM last time, Scott Morrison was doing a terrible job of “running the country”.
Roll on 2025 and ill be saying the exact same thing of Albo, this time its worse, his entire front bench have been complelty incompetent.

Incidental Tourist11:49 pm 05 Dec 24

Both federally and on state level Labor’s problem is drifting left to woke agenda. They keep loosing their core votes and hence have to rely more on marginal far left like Greens who copy and paste their “progressive” ideas from old dusty communists textbooks. Then Labor loose more votes and rely more on Greens, drift further left and so on.

HiddenDragon8:08 pm 05 Dec 24

If Labor fails even to scrape back as a minority government (and that’s still the least likely outcome) at next year’s election, it will essentially be because they over-promised and under-delivered – particularly in dealing with the cost of living pressures bearing on many voters.

On the latter point, they are in good company because much the same problems are facing governments throughout the world, including the recently elected UK government which is already facing a large dose of buyer remorse (with Trump 2.0 likely to be following closely on their heels), and the governments falling apart in France and Germany. The economic mess in China is a reminder that this is not just an affliction of western democracies.

At the heart of all of this is the unpalatable reality that the levels of government spending and support, including quite generous middle and even upper middle class welfare, which have come to be taken for granted are no longer sustainable in a globalised economy which has become so disruptive to the wealth-generating industries on which many modern nations have been built.

In the face of this sobering reality, rather than delivering home truths and realistic solutions – as Albanese’s claimed role model/hero Hawke did when he came to power – we have had constant pandering to ever-expanding entitlement and no clues about how all of it will be paid for in the longer term (when the mining boom stops booming) other than the mirage of becoming a “renewable energy superpower”.

dingus_maximus10:31 am 06 Dec 24

‘At the heart of all of this is the unpalatable reality that the levels of government spending and support, including quite generous middle and even upper middle class welfare, which have come to be taken for granted are no longer sustainable in a globalised economy’

Like Franking credits, only country in the world that does this, and Negative gearing. Will either side ever change these archaic and outdated policies? Short answer is NO as all members of our so-called elite benefit greatly from these policies. I have never understood how shareholders can get a dividend back from a company and then claim the tax paid on that dividend back as a cash payment, oh and shareholder never paid the tax the company apparently did. No wonder the older generations hold all the wealth in this country.

pink little birdie10:49 am 06 Dec 24

I read on another forum the thoughts are the Labor gets in and is expected to fix everything in 1 term. They get slammed for not moving fast enough but if they do they also get slammed for moving too fast.
It’s kind of a catch 22 for them.

The sooner this Anti-Australia Labor Party are kicked out of office, the better off Australians will be. They are a far-left party hell-bent on destroying the fabric of our society with their woke ideology.

Can’t vote for Upgrade Albo whose ego outstrips his policies, especially during a cost of living crisis which doesn’t affect him and all his perks. Can’t vote for Greens under Adam Bandt who foisted Lydia Thorpe on us for 6 years and is busy chasing the Moslem vote along with the hyphenated green-around-the gills kid whose name I can’t remember. Can’t vote for Dutton either so will have to look for a good Independent I suppose.

Capital Retro3:02 pm 05 Dec 24

I used to read/view the LW MSM (Fairfax’s Canberra Times & SMH, Guardian ABC News etc.) exclusively but they always followed the left narrative even after Fairfax was sold to the Nine group and others. The nitty gritty details were seldom included.
Then I discovered Sky Regional News which is free viewing in Canberra. All other capital cities are by subscription.
Sky have regular commentary input from rusted on lefties like Graham Richardson. What a difference it makes. On the other hand, the ABC never have a conservative commentator on the the panel like Piers Ackerman, Gerard Henderson and Andrew Bolt used to be regularly on ABC’s Insiders.
I am mature enough to make my own decisions about what is best for me and my country (it used to be country first).
Remember Canberra’s local news sources for many years have been dominated solely by left leaning commentators. It’s a long time since Murdoch was here.
I don’t believe Labor have contributed anything positive to the general benefit of Australia in their current term.
The MSM on both sides did over Morrison who lost direction and now it is Albanese’s turn.

Hear, hear, well said, I agree.

With the country dominated by a RW MSM, led by the Murdoch press, that give the Dutton & the LNP a free pass on everything, plus always giving their opinions precedence over Government Ministers, the electorate has no idea of what Labor has actually achieved in the last 2.5 years.
Anything Labor does, immediately gets a “pile-on”, giving a totally negative view of every actually positive bit of policy/legislation. I have a list of what has been achieved by Labor, and about 98% of has never been published by the MSM outlets so, it’s stands to reason that people are getting a negative view because, the haven’t been allowed to know the actual facts.
How quickly people seem to have forgotten the previous nine years of LNP mismanagement, rorting, and corruption. When you take into account that in the last 21/28 years, we’ve had the LNP looking after the corporations & wealthy, while selling off our assets, creating dissention, and blatantly lying to the people of Australia, how can anyone expect Labor to have fixed it all in one term? A return to the LNP, would be bringing Trumpian politics into our society.

Ahhhh, the old “Muh right wing media!”

Albo and his governments performance has been utterly woeful. The media don’t have to spin anything when people can feel it with their lighter wallets.

Ask yourself, were you better off before COVID and Morrison’s reckless spending, egged on by Labor? I was

Don’t you mean ‘with the country dominated by left-wing media, led by the ABC, Channel 10, Channel 9, Channel 7, The Canberra Times, The Age, The Sydney Morning Herald and The Guardian (just to name a few), give the Albanese & the ALP a free pass on everything’? You are blinded by your own bias. So it’s the RW media’s fault, not this hopeless, chaotic, incompetent and deceitful government’s fault? You are delusional.

Tempus Viator12:40 pm 05 Dec 24

I’m not sure any of the parties (major or minor) or independents are showing leadership or practical policies to deal with the cost of living. It all seems ‘piecemeal’.
It is concerning that we may end up with a minority government from next year’s election, which will make it even more challenging to see improvements for Australians or the economy based on previous minority governments.

Stephen Saunders10:32 am 05 Dec 24

Hope that’s been cleared by Kath Murphy at the PMO, Chris. But it looks about right.

Namely, silly old voters have got it wrong, imagining 1.5m migration, real household incomes shot, wages in free-fall, all-time rental crisis, vastly un-affordable housing.

They should be paying more attention, to the approved Treasury Talking Points: Budget repair, inflation fighting, cheaper services and free rebates, a million jobs, rising wages, 1.2 million homes to be built, and don’t forget the net-zero transformation stream.

Yours been cleared by Little Lord Rupert?

Hopefully Payne and Smith both get defeated, two of the most useless MPs to have ever represented the ACT

Capital Retro3:04 pm 05 Dec 24

What were those names again?

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