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Election Betting Market update – Liberals still friendless

By caf 26 September 2008 24

After a week of campaigning that’s brought us nothing more substantial than Bartlett-gate, the 3-to-1 return on the Liberals hasn’t been enough to attract them more support in the betting market. Prices stayed flat until this morning, when the ALP shortened again slightly.

Note that the depth of this market is probably not that great (to say the least), so to some extent this is just so much reading tea-leaves. Does anyone find the 3.25-to-1 return on the Liberals tempting? Or even the 30% return you’ll see on Labor?

ACT Election Market 26/09

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24 Responses to
Election Betting Market update – Liberals still friendless
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jakez 4:14 pm 28 Sep 08

desmondgale said :

I am definitely a valliterian. Taxes are one of my issues. The provides us with absolutely no information.
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desmondgale

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…..spambot?

Caf: I wasn’t really accusing you, it’s just a common thing I hear. If you are sympathetic I can dig my friend. There are so many much bigger problems than licensing for doctors that I won’t hold that against you 😉

johnboy 9:03 am 28 Sep 08

In the absence of public polling this is the best data we’ve got.

For mine I wouldn’t be punting till much closer to election day though.

disenfranchised 7:43 am 28 Sep 08

As I indicated in my posting under “election wrap”, Labor will take some pain but be able to form a cross bench government. I see disunity being a problem for the Liberals. If they want to punish Labor, the community will place their votes with independents rather than the Liberals. Even Liberal voters will tell you they have long memories about some divisive people in the party and will not vote for many of their own candidates. This is the election to be a Green candidate. I can’t see right wing candidates doing well. We need to remember that Stanhope is a strong leader. Moreover, the Budget is in surplus, and there have been no major scandals or whiff of corruption.

desmondgale 9:49 pm 27 Sep 08

I am definitely a valliterian. Taxes are one of my issues. The provides us with absolutely no information.
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desmondgale

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