24 January 2024

PM to tell us what he really thinks about stage 3 tax cuts

| Chris Johnson
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Hon Anthony Albanese MP, Prime Minister of Australia

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese will unveil his economic proposal at the National Press Club today. Photo: Michelle Kroll.

Anthony Albanese will use his address to the National Press Club today (25 January) to outline his plan to help ease cost-of-living pressures – a plan that will involve changes to legislated stage 3 tax cuts the Prime Minister has previously and repeatedly vowed to keep intact.

Cabinet has already signed off on the PM’s proposal and the Labor caucus was presented with the plan yesterday.

The rest of Australia will hear about it today, but the Opposition is determined to fight any changes to the tax arrangements former prime minister Scott Morrison made law and were set to kick in this July.

Mr Albanese would not reveal details when quizzed by the media yesterday about his economic plan, but he has been hinting at tweaking the tax cuts for some days now.

The plan is likely to spread the tax cuts more evenly, which means not handing high-income earners as much of a break as they had been promised.

Treasury advice will also be released today.

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“This proposal will be all about supporting middle Australia,” the Prime Minister said.

“We know there are cost of living pressures on middle Australia and we’re determined to follow the Treasury advice to provide assistance to them.

“My determination and my job is to get the best outcome for Australians. It’s to respond to the circumstances which we confront. And we know that there’s been considerable coverage about the pressure that is on low and middle-income earners, particularly with regard to cost of living …

“I’ll be giving a full exposition of economic policy and our response to provide assistance to middle Australia on cost of living at the National Press Club … And one of the things that we will be releasing … is the Treasury advice. It makes for good reading about the options that are available to provide assistance when there are cost of living pressures on people.

“Now, I noticed our opponents have not waited to see any detail to see what the proposal is. They’re just against it. Like they’re against everything.”

In an interview with Sky News, Shadow Treasurer Angus Taylor described the government’s yet-to-be-revealed economic proposal as an “egregious betrayal” of the Australian people.

“The Prime Minister and Treasurer [Jim Chalmers] lied to the Australian people over 100 times by saying they were committed to these tax cuts,” he said.

“They’ve gone to two elections and the Prime Minister and Treasurer have both voted for these tax cuts.

“So there are many Australians out there who are working on the basis that they’re proceeding. And now we learn they are not. And it is clear now that over 100 times, we were lied to.

“Now, these tax cuts are enormously important to give aspirational Australians, those who are working hard to get ahead, the certainty they need to know that they can keep 70 cents in the dollar across the broad range of tax brackets they might encounter.

“At least 70 cents in the dollar. And that’s crucially important to grow the economy and to bring inflation under control. You’ve got to reward aspiration. You’ve got to provide incentives for people to invest, to take risks, to work hard.”

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Deputy Opposition Leader Sussan Ley said Mr Albanese had won last year’s election on a lie.

“I remember him looking straight into the eyes of the Australian people and saying, ‘My word is my bond and I won’t change the stage 3 tax cuts’,” she said.

“What’s so disappointing is it’s not about economics, it’s not about an economic plan, it’s all about the politics.”

Mr Albanese has suggested this week that everyone might get a tax cut under his new proposal.

That in itself would mean changes to the stage 3 tax cuts as they did not include relief for anyone earning below $45,000 a year.

Other speculation involves keeping the top tax-free threshold at $180,000 instead of letting it rise to $200,000 as had been legislated.

ACTU secretary Sally McManus welcomed the prospect of the stage 3 tax cuts being changed, saying Australians had been hit hard by cost-of-living pressures.

“We need this action because the current stage 3 tax cuts are blatantly unfair,” she said.

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Albo is short of votes for the next election. This change is a gamble and the voice got smashed. Albo needs to shoe his voting base he can make an impact for them so far he hasn’t achieved anything so its worth the risk as a last all in.

These types of policies are made for votes and not long term financial position. Voters on the low income end of town don’t tend to reinvest their money and most of it will go overseas as imports. This does little for the economy. The reserve bank understands this and likely will increase inflation to counteract the spending. Which means that everyone loses.

Albo will them blame the reserve bank or try to change how it works. Labor doesn’t care if you are worse off. Only that if you are you don’t blame them for it.

In what would you propose to invest without consumption?

Middle income families got shafted yet again. Instead of a flat 30% between $135k to $200k you are paying a tax rate of 37%? It’s absolutely inexplicable and just means people will just be incentivised to keep income in businesses and investment properties where corporate tax is 30% and you can negatively gear you taxable income below $135k lol!

@Sam Oak
“… incentivised to keep income in businesses and investment properties …”
You mean dodge their income tax obligations, Sam, don’t you? It’s the reason a lot of people are calling for a overhaul of the tax system, particularly capital gains and negative gearing.

Those earning over $135k are still keeping $0.63 for every dollar over the theshhold. We have a progressive income tax for a reason.

And this is unfair on high income earners , why are they expected to pay more

@davo1
That’s how a progressive income tax system works … they still have a much higher disposable income.

No one gives a rats.
Every Government breaks their election promises. What’s new ?

This government breaks every promise. Worst in history. If they don’t serve us, who do they serve?

The lower income earners are hardly making much out of this PR stunt. Would have been better to keep his commitment and find other ways to help low income people.

Maybe low income earners get a better job

You argue that low income people will not receive enough so your solution is to give them nothing and the wealthy more.

“other ways” is weaselling. We are talking about income redistribution, as we have since tax was invented.

Pay there fare share

James Culpitt11:09 pm 27 Jan 24

And maybe you should learn how to spell correctly “on you big income”!

You aren’t giving the wealthy anything. Its how much is taken. Don’t make out that the wealthy aren’t covering the costs for everyone else.

That’s not what I said or mean. Households bringing in 50 grand need more help at the moment than someone one on a 100 grand. Keep his promise so he has some credibility in what he says in the future and find ways to better help those on the real low income that need the help.

Elf, it is precisely what you said and you repeated it for good measure.

GrumpyGrandpa3:33 pm 25 Jan 24

In my opinion, the original Stage 3 was bad legislation. It further divided those with, from those without, by putting large amounts of additional disposable income in the hands of those in our society who were better off.

The problem Albo really has is that he and his party supported and voted for Stage 3. Its not just ScoMo’s Stage 3, Albo also owned it.

Albo and the ALP, went to an election promising that Stage 3 was locked-in and confirmed that commitment, some 70 times (according to articles I’ve read).

Albo secured votes in the last election based on what now appears to be either a significantly large broken promise, or worse. He can try to put some spin on it, but his integrity is now in question, and after his $400 million failed Referendum, can anyone believe anything he says in the future? Maybe only the “rusted-on, true believers”.

Even though I never supported Stage 3, a commitment is a commitment. If Albo wanted to help those on lower incomes, he should have found another way.

I think we can all remember John Howard breaking an election promise and then using his “Core” and “Non-Core” arguments. It just doesn’t wash.

A commitment is a commitment.

Yes, Albo and the government can’t get away from what is a clear breach of trust, walking back on a key election promise.

Particularly when he promised to bring “integrity” back to politics and all through last year’s referendum debate claimed that he couldn’t possibly change course because he’d made it an election promise. Even though it was clearly going to fail from a long way out.

The proposed updated tax changes still do little to combat bracket creep and the tens of billions in extra revenue the government is receiving by stealth. Its not remotely generous to continue increasing income tax and then give a little bit back.

And that’s not even starting on wider considerations about overall taxation reform which are currently non-existent.

@GrumpyGrandpa
“A commitment is a commitment.”
That’s pretty naive, GG.

The tax cuts were enacted 5 years ago. Since then a lot of things have happened – Since the we have had a pandemic; a major European war; an inflation spike; and now a Red Sea supply threat.

The biggest mistake Albo made was to, even recently, delcare the Stage 3 tax cuts were sacrosanct. It’s a time-honoured custom in politics that when a new government comes in they immediately declare that ‘things are even worse than we expected’. And of course, you have already mentioned Howard’s ‘core/non-core promises’ defence.

The sad fact is that, once elected, all politicians break their promises in one way or another. Unfortunately, Albo has doubled down on his promise before breaking it.

I also don’t support these cuts, even in their modified form. Given a lot of the beneficiaries are doing it tough, the cuts will result in an injection of cash into the economy via consumer spending, which will probably be inflationary. The last thing we need.

@chewy14
What you say is totally correct.

However, I suspect those who will be adversely affected by this broken promise either don’t vote Labor, or if do, they are not typically swayed by financial incentives when casting their ballots. So I doubt this particular reversal will have much negative impact electorally.

I don’t believe even the broken promise ‘to bring “integrity” back to politics’ will suprise a lot of punters.

Your biggest ticket item in your post, IMHO, is tax bracket creep. Surely it can’t be hard too legislate to index the bracket thresholds? Where is the Treasury advice on this one?

”A commitment is a commitment.“

To a policy that was silly when invented? You open by claiming yourself the original cuts were “bad legislation”.

You too attempt the “find another way” fallacy to preserve and extend inequality.

The sooner this clown is voted into political oblivion the better off our country will be. I’m guessing his ‘plan’ to revitalise manufacturing here is out the door too. The Reflex decision is clear testimony to his brilliance. The country is being flushed down the drain and this crowd cannot be trusted one iota and they haven’t got the slightest clue what they are doing.

@Michael M
So the review of the Stage 3 tax cuts adversely hits your back pocket, does it?

@justsaying
That isn’t the point. This crowd is utterly deceitful and incompetent. They cannot be trusted and should be removed from office. But if you want to get into.the nitty gritty people need incentive to earn more and Albanese agreed to the stage 3 cuts on many occasions. 30% of 200k is much more than 30% of 80k. His excuse for the last minute change is garbage. Maybe we should consider a class action against him as the cuts were passed into.law and agreed to.by him.

@Michael M
Thank you for the maths lesson , Michael, but I do know “30% of 200k is much more than 30% of 80k” (36k actually). However, we have a progressive income tax system, so those on $200k don’t pay 30% tax on their total income. Perhaps if you look at the actual ‘in pocket’ amounts, you’ll see the real figures.

“This crowd is utterly deceitful and incompetent. They cannot be trusted and should be removed from office.”
I’m thinking you probably didn’t vote for them at the last election – so, you are trying to convince those who did (I voted for an independent by the way, so not me) – OK, good luck with that, when they are probably the greater beneficiaries of this change.

“His excuse for the last minute change is garbage.”
A lot of economists would disagree with your opinion and believe the rationale for the decision is quite sound.. My opinion is that (in typical Labor fashion) it was a haphazard change, having come after Albo’s ‘doubling down on the pre-election promise’ (stupidly IMHO), but in the current circumstances it’s a valid change.

“Maybe we should consider a class action against him as the cuts were passed into.law and agreed to.by him.”
Perhaps less emotion and more common sense. Laws get passed then amended/revoked all the time. As I said in another comment – the goal posts have changed a lot since 2019 when the Stage 3 cuts were enacted. Perhaps if there was less criticism of governments that change tack in the light of new information / changed circumstances, there would be less need to ‘break promises’.

“That isn’t the point.”

Sure.

Earning over $200,000, a few thousand here or there in tax has no effect on work, it is just a mark on the Whinge-o-meter.

Low tax payers rates should be the same as high tax payer rates

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