21 July 2024

Decisive decade over energy starts now, Climate Change Minister says

| Chris Johnson
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man giving a speech at lectern

Climate Change and Energy Minister Chris Bowen addresses the National Press Club of Australia. Photo: Region.

Climate Change and Energy Minister Chris Bowen has taken a clear swipe at Opposition Leader Peter Dutton’s nuclear energy plan, describing it as irresponsible policy with no substance.

He also said the Liberal leader should call out conspiracy theorists in Coalition ranks who continued to deny the reality of climate change science.

Addressing the National Press Club on Wednesday (17 July), Mr Bowen said the Opposition Leader’s recent dismissal of pathway targets to net-zero emissions by 2050 couldn’t be fixed by his plan for nuclear reactors strategically placed around the country.

“Let’s be clear, 2050 isn’t the start date for action – it’s the deadline for delivery,” the Minister said.

“Some people say they are committed to net zero by 2050 as if saying it is enough, and they can delay action to the late 2030s or indeed the 2040s.

“This is a fundamental misunderstanding of the task before us and of the opportunities before our country.”

Mr Dutton revealed his plan in June for the intended locations of seven nuclear power stations he will build across Australia if the Coalition wins the next federal election.

Beyond providing dots on the map, the Opposition Leader gave scant information about his plan.

There were no costings and only a rough timeline committing to having the first plants in operation between 2035 (if using smaller module reactors) and 2037 (if larger reactors are chosen).

His plan would involve the Federal Government owning the assets but forming partnerships with experienced nuclear companies to build and operate them.

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A community partnership would also be formed in each host community, consisting of experienced local representatives, to help with local engagement and play a role in planning the future of their regions.

Mr Bowen used his press club speech to say the Dutton plan provided a clear choice for the decade ahead.

“In many ways, the course of this decade will be shaped by the choice the Australian people will make in the next 12 months,” the Minister said.

“Australians will have a choice between paying for Peter Dutton’s uncosted, unexplained and undeliverable nuclear reactors, or continuing with the Albanese Government and the experts’ plan to get on with the job of delivering more reliable, cheap renewables, bringing down emissions at the same time.”

The Minister described a “decade of energy policy chaos” causing Australians to now pay the “price for that inaction” and creating an energy sector that was vulnerable to international price spikes and ageing coal plants.

“Responsible energy policy matters, not just for our future but for the reality today,” he said.

“Every home and business needs reliable, affordable power …

“We could have been generating the cheapest power available, had there been deliberate, considered policy over the last decade.

“Instead there were 22 policies and none of them stuck. And we know Australians are paying more as a result.”

He said since coming to office, Labor had responded with two rounds of energy bill rebates, and was working towards greater consumer protections with the states and territories.

But ultimately, he said, lower energy bills for homes and businesses relied on the delivery of reliable renewables, firmed by gas, storage and pumped hydro.

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“In relation to our grid, investment is vital now,” he said.

“We lost 4 gigawatts of dispatchable energy over the last decade, replaced by just one gigawatt.

“That means we don’t have the luxury of delaying investment in new generation for another 15 or 20 years while we wait for a new form of energy generation that Australia has never had.

“Australia is unique in our abundance of reliable renewable resources.

“Of course, other countries have renewables. But we have the best.

“Our sun and wind are there for us to harness and power our homes, industry and communities.

“But there remains an urgent need to modernise our energy system, to ensure the power is getting where it’s needed.”

Noting that climate change denial was now firmly a minority opinion, the Minister said Mr Dutton should not tolerate deniers and conspiracy theorists – particularly those of the Coalition’s elected party members.

“The science of climate change is now as certain as the science that tobacco causes cancer,” Mr Bowen said, adding that anyone who didn’t believe tobacco causes cancer would hardly be convinced otherwise by him.

The same applied to hardline climate change deniers, he suggested.

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Sorry, Im not interested in other peoples proclivities, and neither should anyone be inferring activities that might potentially elicit a much more formal written response. Given I actually own a horse, work at horse events and occasionally officiate at same, I might be offended were i not a
robust and forgiving type.

Ok, moving on to our topic at hand…..

For your further reading from 2017 – explaining at length that CO2 is not tightly coupled to temp and is up to 14,000 years behind temperature changes, or not coupled to temp at all, thereby invalidating the climate change myth :

https://euanmearns.com/the-vostok-ice-core-and-the-14000-year-co2-time-lag/

“The science of climate change is now as certain as the science that tobacco causes cancer,” Mr Bowen said, adding that anyone who didn’t believe tobacco causes cancer would hardly be convinced otherwise by him.

This is absolute nonsense from Bowen. There are many highly credentialed scientists that don’t agree with the so called “science of climate change”. In the paper “Net Zero Averted Temperature Increase” of 11 June 2024, the authors (R. Lindzen, Professor Emeritus of Atmospheric Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, W. Happer, Professor Emeritus in the Department of Physics at Princeton University and W. A. van Wijngaarden, Professor in the Physics Department at York University) state the following.

“Using feedback-free estimates of the warming by increased atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) and observed rates of increase, we estimate that if the United States (U.S.) eliminated net CO2 emissions by the year 2050, this would avert a warming of 0.0084 ◦C (0.015 ◦F), which is below our ability to accurately measure. If the entire world forced net zero CO2 emissions by the year 2050, a warming of only 0.070 ◦C (0.13 ◦F) would be averted. If one assumes that the warming is a factor of 4 larger because of positive feedbacks, as asserted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the warming averted by a net zero U.S. policy would still be very small, 0.034 ◦C (0.061 ◦F). For worldwide net zero emissions by 2050 and the 4-times larger IPCC climate sensitivity, the averted warming would be 0.28 ◦C (0.50 ◦F).”

Good on the physicists for having a go at climatology. If they are right, their assumptions and calculations will be verified and we can be less concerned, although given they make no commentary on effects of warming perhaps their key message is that we are all doomed. I trust they took into account time lagged warming curves. It would be grossly negligent to pick a year for the measure.

Meanwhile, energy generation is being transitioned to newer, cheaper, technologies with high recycling capability, just in case we survive.

“He also said the Liberal leader should call out conspiracy theorists in Coalition ranks who continued to deny the reality of climate change science.”

If you cant scientifically prove the existence of climate change, those of us who have science & Engineering backgrounds who actually know stuff, aren’t the “conspiracy theorists”…..

If you can not even explain what science is, stevew77, as demonstrated across multiple threads and occasions, what is your point?

I do not comment on my qualifications, credentials or experience because they would be claims for which (for privacy) I would not provide facsimiles for proof. The same goes for anyone else’s claims to authority. We can judge only by the competence of, and backing for, people’s arguments.

stevew77 flogs dead horses for personal satisfaction.

Capital Retro1:35 pm 22 Jul 24

The same horses that JS9 refers to?

Excellent…..pumping huge amount of our ( the publics ) money into stuff, to fix a non-existent climate change problem……

HiddenDragon7:47 pm 21 Jul 24

“But ultimately, he said, lower energy bills for homes and businesses relied on the delivery of reliable renewables, firmed by gas, storage and pumped hydro.”

Interestingly, in spite of being the world’s dominant producer of batteries and solar panels, having access to as much attractively priced gas as they want from their “no limits” chums in Russia, and being able to deliver pumped hydro with a ruthless efficiency we could only dream of, the Chinese are still busily building coal-fired plants for baseload and firming –

https://www.abc.net.au/news/science/2024-07-16/chinas-renewable-energy-boom-breaks-records/104086640

Both sides of federal politics are treating the general public like mugs on this issue. Labor is peddling renewables fantasies beyond what the technology can deliver because they face an existential threat from the Greens and the Coalition is being completely unrealistic about the obstacles to delivering nuclear power anywhere near quickly enough to replace coal.

Capital Retro1:14 pm 21 Jul 24

Are you sure you got the headline right? “Divisive decade” is more like it.

And what happened to hydrogen?

Probably some division will continue but the paradigm shift has already occurred. Climate change is established science now. Perhaps more to the point, renewable energy is cheaper and offers more flexibility. It is happening, will take over, regardless of old opposing beliefs. Call it economics.

Hydrogen remains highly likely to be used directly in industry and perhaps for heavy transport. It needs cheap electricity to be viable so waits on faster progress on renewables also.

Its only divisive for old fogies still mourning the loss of the horse and cart.

Or cultists demanding because something works for them, it needs to be forced on everybody.

The renewables and electric cars lot make militant vegans seem tolerable.

Capital Retro9:04 am 22 Jul 24

You may mock me as much as you like JS but when Bowens “renewable super power” dream falls in a heap there will only be horses and carts to collect the dead.

You really do have a 1930s view of the world CR.

Thankfully most do not, and can see we live in a very different world.

Climate change is a myth. It cant be proven scientifically.

A 14000 year lag of CO2 behind temperature.

Written in 2017, graphs from NOAA as supporting evidence.

https://euanmearns.com/the-vostok-ice-core-and-the-14000-year-co2-time-lag/

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