6 January 2024

March of the independents welcome news for ACT democracy

| Ian Bushnell
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Voting Elections ACT CMAG Photo: Region Media

Credible independent candidates could make a real impact at this year’s ACT election. Photo: Region.

Now it’s getting interesting. The entry of two independent candidates with impressive CVs into the ACT election fray should get the parties, and voters, thinking.

Former small business advocate Peter Strong, and public servant, medical scientist and diplomat Ann Bray are walking the talk about a government being in power too long and an out-of-touch Liberal Party that has contributed to more than two decades of Labor rule.

The Hare-Clark system makes it a challenge for independents, but since the 2020 election, there has been a federal election notable for the rise of non-party candidates, like now Senator David Pocock, but particularly the Teals, essentially disaffected Liberals frustrated at the party’s right-wing policies.

That persistent right-wing dominance in the progressive ACT has kept the Canberra Liberals out of power as the electorate shifted further left.

READ MORE Independents declare their candidacy for this year’s Assembly elections

Liberals leader Elizabeth Lee has moved to counter that perception, dragging the party to the centre, but it remains to be seen what the calibre of her candidates will be.

Still, her best hope of forming government might be to attract the support of any independent that might make it into the Assembly.

Not that Strong or Bray are getting ahead of themselves and saying who they might support.

But the implication is that they want to be agents of change.

Of course, they could just eat into Liberal votes, but the fact that both say the government has been there too long should ring alarm bells for Labor and the Greens.

Labor will need to argue much more strongly why it deserves to stay in power, while the Greens could see their record representation whittled away by an electorate looking for credible non-party alternatives.

For a town dripping with the brightest and best, local politics has failed to attract much talent. Many, of course, are already working for government and a political career on what many perceive to be a local council does not appeal.

Yet Canberrans pay their taxes and rates, and if self-government is to mean anything, they deserve politicians who can deliver the types of policies and services they expect.

Both Strong and Bray talk about reinvigorating the Assembly, lifting the standard of policy debate and having a strong crossbench to keep the government accountable.

READ ALSO In 2024, I want to conquer the ‘northside’ bias

No doubt Labor will warn against unstable government and the paralysis it can bring, arguing the ACT needs strong majority rule to get the big things done that are essential to its future.

But it is a welcome sign that the election field now has a couple of candidates with proven achievements who want to give something back.

That could inspire others to also put their names on the ballot paper.

That prospect, along with a Liberal Party willing to lean more to the electorate and a 23-year-old government, makes this election less predictable.

At the very least, it will keep the parties on their toes and inject some energy into the contest.

And that is good for democracy and government in the ACT.

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HiddenDragon8:02 pm 05 Jan 24

“…..since the 2020 election, there has been a federal election notable for the rise of non-party candidates, like now Senator David Pocock, but particularly the Teals, essentially disaffected Liberals frustrated at the party’s right-wing policies.”

Even in the relatively short period since the last federal election, and even here in high average income Canberra, the proportion of people who can afford to vote primarily on values rather than value for money has shrunk and will likely continue to do so in the months until the next ACT election – candidates who plausibly address that reality may have the best chance of shifting votes.

It is good to see quality candidates putting their hands up as Independents. I am not familiar with Ann Bray. Peter Strong has a solid public profile and I have always found his opinions wise and informed.

The ACT’s Hare-Clark voting system favours the major parties. Our elections tend to throw up independents with no name recognition who are linked to fringe lobby groups. Running on Liberal light policies of interference aimed at overturning government reforms including land development, gambling, drug and taxation laws to name a few.

Labor has been in power for over two decades now with three leaders over this time. I for one think they have been doing a pretty good job over this period! A long-term government which has guided and changed the nature of our capital into one of Australia’s most envied and progressive cities. The government has been bold during this time and has successfully introduced policies and reforms aimed at expanding and improving our city. This has included reforms to our transport system and introducing and growing our light rail network, addressing climate change, gambling and drug addiction reforms, taxation, expanding our health system, improving property and development laws, social justice as well as enacting anti-discrimination laws aimed at protecting those from our LGBTIQ+ community and legislating a safe schools program. Our parliament also has a robust committee system in which all parties participate. The public have their say, both in submissions and hearings and the Committee reports and makes recommendations on its findings. The parliament debates and votes to accept or reject these findings.

I look forward to seeing other independents put their hands up and whether they will form a like-minded coalition. I will be watching intently on what policies they intend to bring to our parliament and whether they plan to provide a progressive, robust and constructive input to enhance and build on our government’s reforms and our city’s future!

Then there’s Mick Gentleman. If you give them a gold star, then you are supporting this dropkick

I predict Futureproof that the Canberra Liberals are so on the nose with voters that they will only return one member of their party in each electorate at this year’s election. I predict also that we will be waving goodbye to the Liberals Peter Cain, Ed Cocks and James Milligan after the election. Liberal party insiders tell me the same!

The Labor Party and the Greens recorded their best ever results in the Liberals most successful electorate of Brindabella in 2020. Mick Gentleman came second in the popular vote behind Joy Burch and funny man Mark Parton came in third. Labor recorded 6% ahead on first preference votes and the Liberals lost one of its most high profile sitting MLA’s, Andrew Wall.

And guess what? Mick’s running again in 2024!!

“I predict Futureproof that the Canberra Liberals are so on the nose with voters that they will only return one member of their party in each electorate at this year’s election.”

Interesting prediction, readers should remember it well.

Considering the extremely poor performance of the incumbent government, it is rather strange that you think that there will be such monstrous swings against the Liberals in the electorates that they have showed the most support from.

Whilst more truly independent representation would be welcome, there doesn’t seem to be a pool of sufficiently high profile enough candidates yet to draw in the required votes.

No mention of the independent that came 4th on first preferences in Murrumbidgee in 2020?

Fiona Carrick? The Murrumbidgee electorate was behind Ms Carrick’s election as an independent in 2020 and she came fourth in the first preference popular vote. Unfortunately Hare-Clark saw her lose to the Liberals and their preferences.

The Hare-Clark voting system saw Ms Carrick lose out again when the Liberals Giulia Jones stepped down and Ed Cocks was elected on the party’s preferences. Mr Cocks came 10th in the popular. He does not live in, nor did he grow up in the Murrumbidgee electorate! He has been inactive and a true plodder for the party since he was elected!

I hope to see Fiona Carrick back as an Independent in 2024!

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