13 June 2024

Parton's busway punt could come back to haunt Liberals at yet another light rail election

| Ian Bushnell
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Leader Elizabeth Lee and Mark Parton announced the Liberals’ public transport policy in April. A hard sell will only get harder going into another light rail election. Photo: Ian Bushnell.

Mark Parton’s concession that his proposed Woden to City Busway won’t be all continuous, priority running isn’t fatal to the Canberra Liberals’ transport plan, the key plank of which is dumping light rail.

The missing link, Commonwealth Avenue Bridge, will make it a harder sell, as will the fact that taking a lane out of Capital Circle and Commonwealth Avenue for priority running will affect peak-time traffic flow in the north-south corridor.

But the transport plan is more than just the Woden to City run. Mr Parton is banking on Canberrans taking a wider view and becoming increasingly chary of the cost of light rail and impatient about its delivery timetable.

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Major Projects Canberra officials are aware of the challenge posed by a lengthy timeline, saying recently that the 2032 completion date was conservative and could come in earlier than that.

It is also fair to say that much of the time lag is out of its hands due to the three approval levels that the project has to go through. Is there any other place in the country where this happens?

The real issue for Mr Parton is one that I warned about in March last year when the Canberra Liberals went all in and came out against light rail stage 2B.

“It has boarded a fixed track to the election that gives them little flexibility and poses the danger of building a campaign on a single contentious issue,” I wrote.

“It could prove to be a house of cards – take out light rail and the whole edifice collapses.”

The Canberra Liberals wanted a point of difference, and shunting light rail gave them that, but it also alienated those who supported light rail but could consider changing their vote.

The weakness in their transport policy exposed this week, exploited to the hilt by Transport Minister Chris Steel, will only mark it harder for waverers to come across to the Liberal column.

A Riotact poll on light rail has garnered enough votes to be a reasonable sample, if still not exactly scientific. It shows 68 per cent to 32 per cent in favour of getting light rail to Woden, a statistic that has remained roughly consistent throughout its life. (And no, people cannot vote more than once … on the same device, at least.)

That may just reflect our readership, although the comments go the other way. But it points to a solid base of support for light rail that does not augur well for a party that made a conscious decision to make the October election yet another referendum on the fixed-track people mover.

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I said last year that making it an either/or proposition was a big gamble.

The Canberra Liberals will want to talk about all kinds of other issues and government missteps and snafus, but it has no choice now but to double down on its light rail position and prosecute it to the end for fear of being seen as diffident about its own policy.

The other issue for them is that the more project updates, renders and route designs the government rolls out, the more light rail becomes part of the landscape, if only in our minds.

That is the challenge Mr Parton faces in selling a transport policy without light rail and coupling his party’s fortunes to it.

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Andrew Clarke3:40 pm 19 Jun 24

We have to draw a distinction between how Canberras think and how Canberras act. They are all absolutely sure that extensive and expensive public transport is a wonderful thing, especially if it’s run on renewables. For other people to use of course: they wouldn’t be seen using it themselves. They’ ve just bought a brand new diesel SUV which they need for the school run, and it would be just throwing money away to leave it in the garage … And public transport is *so* inconvenient … and slow … etc, etc, etc.

HiddenDragon8:20 pm 14 Jun 24

With dwindling prospects of an interest rate cut before the ACT election, and with price rises outpacing income growth for many Canberrans, this should be a cost of living election, not a referendum on something which, at best, won’t happen until well after the 2028 election.

To frame this debate, the Liberals should be talking a lot more about these issues –

https://the-riotact.com/light-rail-challenge-shows-how-much-act-needs-the-commonwealth-to-take-a-bigger-load/777267

and particularly about the reality that with the federal budget in significant structural deficit, we are not going to be bailed out when there are marginal seat votes to be bought in other parts of the country – no matter how special and important we tell ourselves that Canberra is.

The Liberals should particularly target the tens of thousands of ratepayers whose blocks are about to be rezoned for dual occupancy (and thus significantly revalued for rates purposes) with the message that they will be carrying an even heavier burden to pay for light rail.

Trish O'Connor4:01 pm 14 Jun 24

don’t know what all the fuss is about – Commonwealth Bridge is a very short section and merging buses would not be much of an issue – it is not as if there will be hundreds of buses all merging at once.

Good point Trish, the bus already gets priority entry onto the southern side of Commonwealth bridge, I’m sure a bit of smart design could develop something similar from the northern entrance.

Riotact needs to stop Ian Bushnell regularly commentating on Light Rail with his clear and preset views and agendas on the project .

Let Ian give us his opinion occasionally, but please also give us readers a journalist who digs deeper and poses questions on both sides of the argument around financials, opportunity costs, realised benefits, timelines, demography and topology issues for public transport in Canberra.

“people cannot vote more than once … on the same device, at least.” LOL. Yes they can, extremely easily.

which applies to Yes and No votes, so unlikely to affect the actual result.

Stephen Saunders9:39 am 14 Jun 24

Light rail has no future. No other city in the EU or US has adopted it that I know of. They’re all swinging to buses and trackless trams. No seriously…

Is this rage bait? It’s so incredibly clearly wrong that it must be a joke. Light rail is bigger and more successful than BRT throughout Europe and North America and almost no one has “trackless trams” outside of a couple of cities in China.

That’s rubbish. I’m a semi-regular visitor to Europe (mainly Germany, Austria and Switzerland) and most cities and larger townships have wired trams.
As an aside, I took a video of two trams travelling in opposite directions down the middle of a busy road in CBD Magdeburg to show people that other vehicles and pedestrians can share the road quite happily without incident. Why can’t we achieve this here when our tram uses a dedicated corridor with traffic lights and crossings?

You mean No city are adopting busways or trackless trams. At least 20 cities in the USA have built or extended their light rail in the past decade or 2. Europe would be significantly higher, they have a far superior network of rail and light rail to most parts of the world, with Asia quickly catching up. What they’d discoved with these trackless trams is they need to reinforce the road with concrete and thats costing around as much as rail is, but requiring more maintenance and more prone to issues. No one in the world are used buses as the backbone of there Public transport. Thats far more factual than your statement, which is easily disproved with a quick google or even a visit to many cities in the USA and Europe.

Sarcasm radar not operating this afternoon.

As the one whose persistent questioning of Liberal Transport spokesperson Mark Parton led to his admission that their proposed Commonwealth Ave busway (actually just a notional line on a map) wasn’t viable, I’d like to clarify a couple of things.

The missing link isn’t just the bridge but the entire length of Commonwealth Ave. North of the bridge, there wouldn’t be room to add a bus lane unless the Liberals backflip on their promise and cancel the light rail stage 2A contract. South of the bridge there is no room without removing trees on either the median or the outside verges. The National Capital Authority and Parliament are likely to allow this for fixed rail but for a bus lane?

The current focus on the bridge probably stems from the NCA’s position being reinforced from October 2022 when it announced the bridge upgrade, and progressed approval through the Parliamentary Public Works Committee. But the NCA set out its opposition to converting traffic lanes on Commonwealth Ave (not just the bridge) to bus-only lanes in its submission to the 2018 federal parliamentary inquiry into the extension of light rail through the parliamentary zone.

It seems implausible that the opposition transport spokesperson would not have been aware of this when formulating and launching their policy.

There is a way to provide a busway along the entire length of Commonwealth Ave without extensive capital works. The NCA could reverse its opposition and allow 2 of the 6 lanes to be converted to bus-only lanes. The Liberals could propose that if they form government in the ACT they would work with the federal Labor and Liberal parties to support this (over-ruling the NCA is necessary), consistent with the need to prioritise public transport over private transport into the city from the south, given increasing congestion and the need to reduce emissions. The ACT Liberals are unlikely to do this because they know their hard-core supporters wouldn’t back it, and in any event the party’s right wouldn’t allow it.

Has anyone heard from chewy?

Yoohoo!

No worries Jack,
easily answered with the information already provided in Mark’s comment.

“The missing link isn’t just the bridge but the entire length of Commonwealth Ave. North of the bridge, there wouldn’t be room to add a bus lane unless the Liberals backflip on their promise and cancel the light rail stage 2A contract”

This is actually a major failing of the current government’s decision to proceed with Stage 2A as an independent project with huge costs for almost no identified benefit. They never should have signed contracts for it in the first place, it’s a major planning failure but does create a lovely political wedge. To use this as an argument against the Liberals plan is nonsensical.

“South of the bridge there is no room without removing trees on either the median or the outside verges.

Yes, so a busway can do exactly the same thing as light rail is proposing to do. From a planning perspective it’s a non-issue and the idea that the NCA would see an inherent difference for removing trees for light rail or a busway on this route seems quite irrational.

The rest of Mark’s comments just outlines exactly how a bus option could be delivered cheaply without major infrastructure by working with the federal government and NCA to provide a more efficient public transport option through a removal of a traffic lane along the bridge until such time as a higher capacity option could be justified in the long term.

Politically, the Liberals may well not support that more efficient option due to the issues raised by Mark but those are once again political rather than planning, transport or infrastructure issues. As I’m not a Liberal supporter, they are quite irrelevant.

And it’s also ironic because the same types of political decisions are being made by the ALP/Greens on the project to move forward with light rail despite the fact it doesn’t create the best outcomes for the ACT public transport network or economic position.

For light rail the answer to any technical problem is to “throw more money at it”, seen most recently with the idea of a new tunnel for part of the route. It’s extraordinarily hypocritical to then claim a bus system won’t work due to technical reasons, when extra funding would similarly fix them.

But people like Jack D don’t actually care about the detailed planning information, their support is unequivocal no matter what the evidence says.

The NCA may or may not have a problem with it, but the whole claim the libs were making was that their plan would be significantly faster and not need NCA approval, which self-evidently isn’t true.

Another problem area in the liberal plan is going west between Adelaide Ave and Commonwealth Ave, as there’s only one traffic lane down to State Circle and no lane at all up to Commonwealth ave. Considering how quickly the dumped the commonwealth bridge section I imagine this area would be consigned to to-hard basket too.

Areaman,
as above, the same issues exist for the light rail route and the government’s transparency is almost non existent on how they will be solved, how much it will cost and when it will happen by.

You can’t be critical of one, whilst ignoring the same types of technical flaws in the other.

The fact that the politicians on either side are spinning their own positions to suit themselves in an election year is exactly the problem for what should be a planning and infrastructure led project, rather than an ideological play thing.

The planning for light rail route has been super transparent, even if the costings have been less so. The difference however is that the government are admitting that light rail we be slow to build, require lots of approvals but give a better outcome. The libs are contrasting that by saying their solution will be faster, cheaper, not require approvals and still give a good outcome. However now it appears that the liberal solution either wouldn’t be as fast and approval free as they claim or wouldn’t provide any real benefits . So they both have some similar issues around speed of delivery and approval but the government never claimed those as advantages of their plan, whereas the libs did.

Areaman,
The planning for the route has not remotely been transparent, they still don’t have a preferred option despite committing to completing the project.

Travel along the route and issues like how to traverse on/off State Circle is still not solved, with very little information released to the public.

They have claimed performance and travel times will be similar to existing buses when it clearly won’t be and they’ve provided no information to back up their statements.

Their claims around the difficulty in approvals is more around blaming the NCA for delays that are more around their own schedule and funding issues, rather than admitting inherent project difficulties.

They haven’t even done an option study nor released a business case to show it provides a “better outcome”.

Transparency is non existent.

It’s also partially unfair to compare the technical issues around the policy of an opposition party compared to a government who has access to the resources of entire departments of public servants and is spending tens of millions of dollars on design contracts to address.

The Liberal policy has issues that need more investigation and development work to assess. But they cant do any of that work until they win government due to resoucing.

They could choose to trade-off lower costs for longer travel times by sharing traffic routes with normal traffic in certain areas and then running on dedicated infrastructure elsewhere.

All of these issues should have been sorted out early in the project through an options investigation and analysis phase. It’s damning on the government that they didn’t even bother with considering alternatives.

They took taking light rail to Woden to the election, so that’s non-negotiable, and if that is taken as a given then they’ve been very open. They have a preferred route which they’ve been clear about, they’re just also listing an alternative route to cover their bases and not slow the project down any more than it already is. The most recent plans detail the cut and cover tunnel between State circle and Commonwealth ave and the signalised intersection between State circle and Adelaide ave.

Opposition policies might need more work once they get into government but that’s not a free pass for making stupid basic mistakes that are clear to anyone who is paying attention. If one obvious question from a PTCBR member can bring the whole thing crashing down then it wasn’t well thought out to begin with, doubly so as there a half dozen other equally obvious problems with their plan that the libs are still dodging.

chewy14 the government does have a preferred option, see: https://yoursayconversations.act.gov.au/light-rail-to-woden/have-your-say-parliament-house-precinct

The documents listed on the right side of the screen include the ‘Parliament House Precinct Plan – State Circle East preferred alignment’ which shows the proposed location of stops and connections between Commonwealth Ave and State Circle and between State Circle and Adelaide Ave.

It also shows the alternative more indirect route via Barton, which is being worked up as an alternative in case the State Circle route is deemed unacceptable by the NCA or Parliament. The minister Chris Steel says that the more direct State Circle route is preferred for reasons of cost and journey time, and that design work to date has confirmed it’s feasible from both an engineering and cost perspective. Also both the NCA and the parliamentary committee undertaking the 2018 inquiry made it clear that State Circle is preferred as it’s on the endorsed public transit route.

I agree that the light rail project has dragged on far too long. But it’s now progressing through the cumbersome approval process. Fault lies with both the ACT government and the NCA, which under its previous leadership continued to block rather than facilitate the project until the writing was on the wall that both sides of federal parliament were behind it in principle (evidenced by funding for stage 2A from both the previous and current governments).

By contrast, the ACT Liberals plan is truly smoke and mirrors, as has been admitted by Mark Parton. If the Liberals were serious about fast electric buses they would have presented a plan for a busway with a continuous right of way between the City and Woden, with likely locations of stops and how passengers will access them (including at grade-separated stops on Adelaide Ave and Yarra Glen), and some evidence no matter how slight that the existing travel time could be maintained, all within the budget of $70 million. As it is, on the most congested section, the 3 km between London Circuit and State Circle, the buses will become increasingly stuck as the volume of traffic builds. Congestion, in which buses carrying 50 or more passengers are surrounded by single occupant cars, all stationery, is increasingly obvious, particularly northbound during the peaks.

Areaman,
“They took taking light rail to Woden to the election, so that’s non-negotiable, and if that is taken as a given then they’ve been very open.”

This doesn’t and should never be used to avoid proper infrastructure planning and decision making processes. Making election promises about delivering projects without due diligence is exactly what you’re complaining about the Liberals doing.

Election promises aren’t blank cheques, particularly for this type and scale of project.

I’m also OK if you have faith in the government’s statements about the preferred route, but keeping the alternative alive is actually further evidence that they haven’t done the necessary work to define the preferred solution in the first place.

“The most recent plans detail the cut and cover tunnel between State circle and Commonwealth ave and the signalised intersection between State circle and Adelaide ave.”

Which are only still preliminary, no decisions have been made. And they have only been able to be developed using the access to sigmificant resources that only the government has.

Before they released those route options, they were similar problems for the light rail plan. Before light rail developed a 3rd bridge option, they too couldn’t cross the lake.

Etc. Etc.

All the problems you have with the Liberal plan are the same types of issues that have existed with light rail since conception.

And they all have quite readily available technical solutions if the money can be spent on design and engineering solutions.

It’s not remotely comparing apples to apples to think light rail has an unlimited (and unannounced) budget for overcoming technical challenges but alternatives need to have solved them prior to completing any detailed development work or access to government funding.

Without a proper analysis of those costs , limitations and alternatives, along with the type and amount of benefit that will accrue, we cannot have a proper consideration of the optimal solution.

Which is exactly what any competent government would have done before locking in a solution to an ill defined problem.

“It is also fair to say that much of the time lag is out of its hands due to the three approval levels that the project has to go through”

No, it isn’t remotely fair to say that and it just shows how poorly the author investigates the project details and refuses to test any claims made about it by the government because he personally supports it.

Planning approvals aren’t delaying the project, the government hasn’t even completed basic design work nor a robust business case that could have been finished many years ago if they were serious about delivering the project quickly.

The clear and obvious answer for the delay is the enormous cost that can’t be borne by a budget and taxbase in strain, particularly when the benefits for the proposed route are so minimal.

If only “journalists” would actually question the government with the same fervour that they want to challenge the opposition.

Instead of constantly giving them a free pass. Unfortunately too many of them clearly have skin in the game and don’t want to bite the hand that feeds them.

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